Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.
Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.
Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
The Gulf Stream passes us farther offshore than FL or SC. We get brushed by hurricanes but rarely hit.
About half the county is wetlands. There is a lot of area for any storm surge to spread out in.
Savannah, at the northern end of the Georgia coast, will likely not fare quite so well.
"Ceterum censeo Islam esse delendam."
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Good to see you, FRiend. Stay safe. :-)
Is there a link for that graphic? I’d like to refresh it occasionally.
Thank you.
Yep... it was a disaster downtown. Panes of glass were falling down from 30-50 floors up. NOT GOOD.
I think, since then... they've banned use of gravel on roofs.
Hint
prepper info, take a gallon jug and fill it with tap water, then take an LED headlamp and secure it to the jug with the LED light shining into the jug. It will luminate a room well enuf to see and navigate as well as being portable
Ahh, I use sealed, 5-gal. bpa-free Culligan water bottles. Keep 30 gal.s on hand even tho I have a well and generator.
The Dominican Republic is VERY lucky.
Right-click the image and then select copy image address.
I service all those areas too. Posting this from Arcadia. Most of the retirement trailer parks are empty, Windows shuddered. The Crackers are hunkering down, prepped and ready. My family will ride it out in Sebring. Mother in law is too frail to evacuate.
The remoteness of the CRYC in comparison to the nearby metropolis of S FLA always appealed to me.
The flatness and exposure there as ground zero is going to be nasty.
That gives me the image, not the cite.
Me too.
Two feet of snow and blocked in for a few days is fun. We have natural gas stoves, fireplaces, and all sorts of ways to stay warm in the snow without power.
Storm surges? Nope. I will keep the bad cold
We’re in WNC too. Expect to lose power. Could be overnight or several days. At worst Trees down and limited travel for a day or two.
Could be some flash flooding along the creeks or rivers but that happens a few times a year anyway.
Wind could be tropical storm force. Go out now if you need supplies. I was out yesterday and the run has started. Nothing like what’s going on in FL but some things were being depleted from the shelves.
Forgot to add, secure any loose stuff in the yard or on the patio/deck. Furniture, grills, hanging pots, bird feeders, etc.
I sent your link to my family who are in many parts of Florida. A couple of them have already responded with thanks, so I’m passing that along to you. Thank you so much!
I have found this source to be useful...
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/
It normally comes up showing the most recent GFS model run, and you can manually step through it or animate the process. You can also look at earlier runs.
You can make selections at the bottom of the page to show accumulated precipitation over 6 hour (default), 24 hour, or total. If you click on Lower Dynamics, you can get wind information, but I’m not sure what the various sub-options mean. I’m assuming “lower” implies surface conditions. The Global, Ensemble, and Mesoscale selections at the top allow you to do the same with the other models.
Place marker
Irma has been steered to the West and then WNW by a high to the North. The high is forecast to ‘nose out’ around Florida - Irma will reach the periphery of that high pressure and the steering currents from a trough to the North will pull in that direction at that point. It all depends if the high noses further west or not.
Beebranch and I75 standstill, as well as 41. Many on 41 from Monroe Co.
If I lived in the keys, I 'd take 41 until cutting up to Arcadia.
My LBK/Sarasota folks will be heading to Wauchula and Arcadia, that is, unless they REALLY screw up the forecast and it becomes Hurricane Charlie Part 2
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