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The flawed Donohue, Aneja, & Weber Study claiming right-to-carry laws increase violent crime
Crime Prevention Research Center ^ | July 8, 2017 | Crime Prevention Research Center

Posted on 07/09/2017 6:30:11 PM PDT by richardb72

A new, unpublished study by John Donohue, Abhay Aneja, and Kyle Weber has received a lot of attention for supposedly finding some evidence that right-to-carry laws increase overall violent crime rates. It has been covered in Newsweek, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, Vice, Snopes, and many newspapers such as Newsday and the Salt Lake City Tribune. As is typical of Donohue’s work, there is no attempt to mention or respond to prior criticisms, and he just repeats the same, seriously biased methods and errors.

Publications such as Time and Newsweek would always interview critics when they ran stories on Lott’s original research. But when studies have the right political biases, reporters no longer get both sides of the story. But especially when the media explicitly describes a study as “debunking” John Lott’s previous research, you might think a reporter would call up Lott and get his take on it. It has been two weeks after the Donohue-led research started getting attention, and not a single reporter has contacted him.

The bottom line is pretty clear: Since permit holders commit virtually no crimes, right-to-carry laws can’t increase violent crime rates. You can’t get the 1.5 to 20 percent increases in violent crime rates that a few of their estimates claim with only thousandths of one percent of permit holders committing violent crimes. To put it differently, states would have to be miss reporting 99%+ of crimes committed by permit holders for their results to be possible.

The synthetic control tests where they use anything from two to four states to predict the changes in another state’s violent crime rates are extremely arbitrary. For example, would you look almost exclusively to Hawaii to predict violent crime rate changes in Idaho, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nebraska, and Utah?

(Excerpt) Read more at crimeresearch.org ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Front Page News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: banglist; concealedcarry; cprc; guncontrol; mediabias

1 posted on 07/09/2017 6:30:11 PM PDT by richardb72
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To: richardb72

Yes it does...against criminals. But that’s not a crime.


2 posted on 07/09/2017 6:55:32 PM PDT by Bonemaker
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To: richardb72; Pollster1; marktwain
Free Republic personnel called it here and here and here FIRST!!!
3 posted on 07/09/2017 6:55:46 PM PDT by DoodleBob
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To: richardb72; mylife; Joe Brower; MaxMax; Randy Larsen; waterhill; Envisioning; AZ .44 MAG; umgud; ...

RKBA Ping List


This Ping List is for all things pertaining to the 2nd Amendment.

FReepmail me if you want to be added to or deleted from the list.

4 posted on 07/09/2017 7:52:32 PM PDT by PROCON (President Reagan, your worthy successor has arrived to save our beloved America)
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To: PROCON
A Stanford Law School professor, John Donohue, and his team analyzed crime data from 1977 to 2014..

How many states have passed or changed carry laws since 1977? Mass shootings and other violent crimes often take place in "gun free" zones where even licensed concealed carry is not allowed. As we've seen in France, Britain, etc., you don't need a gun to cause a lot of death and chaos, especially in places where no one is well armed.

5 posted on 07/09/2017 9:35:29 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: All

Wikipedia is already referencing this garbage research.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concealed_carry_in_the_United_States#cite_note-15


6 posted on 07/09/2017 9:43:10 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: richardb72

The only thing that causes increases in violent gun crime is democrats with guns. Disarm democrat supporters and gun crime craters by 88%


7 posted on 07/09/2017 9:56:35 PM PDT by Sgt_Schultze (When your business model depends on slave labor, you're always going to need more slaves.)
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To: richardb72

Nearly all gun crime is committed by liberal constituents in big cities with stolen or illegally bought weapons.


8 posted on 07/09/2017 10:26:08 PM PDT by Cubs Fan (Liberals are the most hateful, violent and intolerant people in America)
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To: richardb72

Confusing cause with effect, these geniuses are. CCW is more likely to be sought where the crime picture causes it to make more sense.


9 posted on 07/09/2017 10:27:07 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: smokingfrog
How many states have passed or changed carry laws since 1977?

Aaaand, how many of the Dem strongholds "studied" have degenerated from semi-decent places to the gang-riddled slums of today?

10 posted on 07/10/2017 3:50:31 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: richardb72

This so called study is irrelevant. The right to carry is a God given inalienable right that supersedes any manmade law. All politicians and tyrants carry, therefore all citizens must do likewise.


11 posted on 07/10/2017 5:40:32 AM PDT by Neoliberalnot (Marxism works well only with the uneducated and the unar)
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To: richardb72

Same old same old. Like an early Gun Smoke episode that I recall, where a federal superior takes over administration and bans all gun carrying. The townsfolk then get ready to lynch the nosybody fed, confident that Matt will not be able to shoot them, since they are all unarmed.


12 posted on 07/10/2017 6:28:08 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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To: richardb72

Let me guess. States with more violent crime have looser carry laws, so therefore carry laws cause violent crime.


13 posted on 07/10/2017 7:10:50 AM PDT by Eleutheria5 (“If you are not prepared to use force to defend civilization, then be prepared to accept barbarism.)
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