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Emergency: California’s Oroville Dam Spillway Near Failure, Evacuations Ordered
Breitbart ^ | Feb 12, 2017 | Joel B. Pollak1

Posted on 02/12/2017 4:26:47 PM PST by janetjanet998

Edited on 02/12/2017 9:33:58 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]

The California Department of Water Resources issued a sudden evacuation order shortly before 5 p.m. Sunday for residents near the Oroville Dam in northern California, warning that the dam’s emergency spillway would fail in the next 60 minutes.

The Oroville Dam is the highest in the nation.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: butte; california; dam; dwr; evacuation; lakeoroville; liveoroville; moonbeamcanyon; moonbeammadness; oroville; orovilledam; orovillelive; runaway; spillway; sutter; water; yuba
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To: EarthResearcher333

Very interesting. Does this thing showing in the water above the spillway pose a some kind of unresolvable danger of blockage to the outflow onto the spillway?


1,321 posted on 02/17/2017 8:49:00 PM PST by Jim W N
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To: janetjanet998

Exactly... why would the small muddy stream be clear in the one pic? That makes no sense.. it is eating through a saturated hillside, why is it not muddy in both images? That was what initially pointed me in the direction of exposure (blown highlights). While cloudy, lots of light still gets through, and in variable amounts with cloud cover... our eyes are not that sensitive to changes in light, believe it or not, but digital I,aging devices with more limited dynamic range can be quite finicky in shadows and highlights, leading to some pretty nasty artifacts. I’m hoping that is all these images show, but only about 70% confident.


1,322 posted on 02/17/2017 8:53:07 PM PST by leakinInTheBlueSea
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To: EarthResearcher333

Water flow under the main spillway?


1,323 posted on 02/17/2017 9:03:04 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: WildHighlander57

My understanding was the the lower power plant area was flooded. I see the drain capable of pulling down as 16k cfs +/- but it is routed through, and probably controlled by the power plant.

I have read nothing that says it can be cranked open or closed with the power plant area flooded.


1,324 posted on 02/17/2017 9:06:58 PM PST by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: Mariner

At least 5 inches of rain due Sunday - Tuesday in the mountains above Oroville.

Inflows have the potential to exceed 200,000cfs.

https://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=Paradise%2C+CA


1,325 posted on 02/17/2017 9:07:19 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: leakinInTheBlueSea; janetjanet998; Ray76; maggief; Grampa Dave; Mariner; daisy12; LucyT
Images sharpened, then compared in color spectral density processed on high end computer system/graphics high DPI w/32bit color . Results are is that this is not an exposure change but a real coloration change in the water. The circled image areas were analyzed (spectrally). What is also an independent proof is that the coloration of the side stream to the left maintains its same hue/saturation/contrast etc while the brown color flow on the outside of the main spillway sidewall turned brown (compare left circles in both images). This indicates a soil erosion "burst" in the main spillway hole cavitation/hydraulic turbulence upstream.




1,326 posted on 02/17/2017 9:22:49 PM PST by EarthResearcher333
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To: EarthResearcher333

Did debris fall into the dam or is the weir/spillway breaking apart on the dam side?


1,327 posted on 02/17/2017 9:25:35 PM PST by daisy12
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To: EarthResearcher333

Death knell for the main spillway.

She’s gonna blow Captain.

I wonder if they can even shut it off?


1,328 posted on 02/17/2017 9:26:03 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Jim 0216

There was heavy discussion on the inlet turbulence as there were other photographs taken from directly above that showed brownish discoloration in the waterflow. Throughout the discussion there was no talk of “blockage”, just if there is scouring occurring on the inlet flow substructure.


1,329 posted on 02/17/2017 9:28:40 PM PST by EarthResearcher333
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To: EarthResearcher333

There is a break in the dam in front of the weir or just behind it on the dam side?


1,330 posted on 02/17/2017 9:31:49 PM PST by daisy12
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To: daisy12

you all amaze me with the attention to detail, stuff I don’t see. I am a big picture thinker.

Hope the workers get out in time.


1,331 posted on 02/17/2017 9:33:33 PM PST by daisy12
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To: Mariner

>>>Water flow under the main spillway?<<<

This crest is most likely from the high volume flow over the main spillway surface (i.e. very unlikely from anything under the slabs). The symmetrical shape of the crest infers a collision of flow from the inlet - analogous to “streams” colliding.

Still, you always seek to maintain a laminar smooth flow. The image is not completely definitive but it looks as if the crest is away from the side wall.

The concrete of the main spillway has a large number of microcracks that are repaired by maintenance - in addition to the concrete slab joints. However, one section of the seam of the main spillway experienced a “slumping” (believed to be from undercutting erosion under the slabs). This is what led to the blowout in the midsection of the main spillway (i.e. the fix to this “slumping” was not adequate over time).


1,332 posted on 02/17/2017 9:39:35 PM PST by EarthResearcher333
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To: daisy12

>>There is a break in the dam in front of the weir or just behind it on the dam side?<<

No breaks. See reply to Mariner post 1332


1,333 posted on 02/17/2017 9:43:26 PM PST by EarthResearcher333
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To: EarthResearcher333

If that is a side structure realigned by the flow above the throat of the outlet, in your post, we have a bad bad problem.

I hate to sound like that repeating wizarding professor, but, “We may have to close Hogwarts.”


1,334 posted on 02/17/2017 9:49:22 PM PST by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: EarthResearcher333

Is there any possibility of that brown water coming from the side of that big @$$ hill that is dividing the water flow?


1,335 posted on 02/17/2017 9:55:29 PM PST by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: Yaelle
Two ducks have sought refuge in our pool.

Those water-fowl will foul your water.

1,336 posted on 02/17/2017 9:58:33 PM PST by ROCKLOBSTER (The fear of stark justice sends hot urine down their thighs.)
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To: WildHighlander57

>>Is there any possibility of that brown water coming from the side of that big @$$ hill that is dividing the water flow?<<

Since the brown water “image capture” is to the left and the right of the spillway, this would indicate that an infusion of a notable amount of soil occurred from the action of the turbulent hydraulic scouring of the big “main spillway” hole.

What makes this interesting is that there seemed to be “good bedrock” just down from the main spillway hole. To cause a break away or infusion of brown material (color matches soil) from this hole is the question. What broke? Did a section of the “good bedrock” finally give way to expose another fractured bedrock/soil pocket a little further? Did the hole go deeper?
It is also possible, that part of a hill landslided into the flow. Only before/after pictures could give a clue.


1,337 posted on 02/17/2017 10:05:31 PM PST by EarthResearcher333
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To: EarthResearcher333; SaveFerris; null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; TWhiteBear; ...

Comment at # 1,319 then see Photos at # 1,320 # 1,326 .

And other comments as well.

Thanks, EarthResearcher333 .

1,338 posted on 02/17/2017 10:07:16 PM PST by LucyT
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To: EarthResearcher333

What did you do to compare color spectral density? Are you just talking RGB histograms? Both images are so poorly exposed from a detail retention perspective (there is no detail in most of the water due to overexposure) that it is hard for me to say with confidence that the drastic change in the local coloration is due to increased sediment. It probably is sediment given the context, so I’m probably suffering from a little bias here! Just curious what you actually did to come to your confident conclusion.


1,339 posted on 02/17/2017 10:14:47 PM PST by leakinInTheBlueSea
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To: EarthResearcher333

Would be nice to know the times of capture as well... if this was while they were reducing the flow rate, would not the flow velocity come down a bit as well? The water flowing off the damaged end of the spillway could be landing further uphill and eroding hillside that was untouched or only slightly impacted at higher flow rates?


1,340 posted on 02/17/2017 10:21:08 PM PST by leakinInTheBlueSea
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