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Repealing the Affordable Care Act will kill more than 43,000 people annually
WaPo ^ | 23 Jan 2017 | David Himmelstein and Steffie Woolhandler

Posted on 01/23/2017 3:52:12 PM PST by mandaladon

Now that President Trump is in the Oval Office, thousands of American lives that were previously protected by provisions of the Affordable Care Act are in danger. For more than 30 years, we have studied how death rates are affected by changes in health-care coverage, and we’re convinced that an ACA repeal could cause tens of thousands of deaths annually.

The story is in the data: The biggest and most definitive study of what happens to death rates when Medicaid coverage is expanded, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, found that for every 455 people who gained coverage across several states, one life was saved per year. Applying that figure to even a conservative estimate of 20 million losing coverage in the event of an ACA repeal yields an estimate of 43,956 deaths annually.

With Republicans’ efforts to destroy the ACA now underway, several commentators have expressed something akin to cautious optimism about the effect of a potential repeal. The Washington Post’s Glenn Kessler awarded Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) four Pinocchios for claiming that 36,000 people a year will die if the ACA is repealed; Brookings Institution fellow Henry Aaron, meanwhile, predicted that Republicans probably will salvage much of the ACA’s gains, and conservative writer Grover Norquist argued that the tax cuts associated with repeal would be a massive boon for the middle class.

But such optimism is overblown.

The first problem is that Republicans don’t have a clear replacement plan. Kessler, for instance, chides Sanders for assuming that repeal would leave many millions uninsured, because Kessler presumes that the Republicans would replace the ACA with reforms that preserve coverage. But while repeal seems highly likely (indeed, it’s already underway using a legislative vehicle that requires only 50 Senate votes), replacement

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 115th; aca; first100days; repealandreplace; trump; trump45
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To: mandaladon

I thought we were all going to die from global warming. Or is it we are all going to die because Trump is going to roll back EPA regulations? Or is we’re all going to die from nuclear war.

RUN FOR THE HILLS!!! We’re doomed!!!


61 posted on 01/23/2017 4:53:15 PM PST by Organic Panic (Rich White Man Evicts Poor Black Family From Public Housing - MSNBCPBSCNNNYTABC)
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To: mandaladon

Report: 300,000 Small Business Jobs Lost Due to Obamacare; Over 10,000 Businesses Shut Down
http://freebeacon.com/issues/report-jobs-lost-obamacare/

Hundreds on Medicaid Waiting List Die After Illinois Expands ObamaCare
http://townhall.com/columnists/nicholashorton/2016/12/13/hundreds-on-medicaid-waiting-list-die-after-illinois-expands-obamacare-n2259134?utm_source=thdaily&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=nl&newsletterad=


62 posted on 01/23/2017 4:54:22 PM PST by GailA (Ret. SCPO wife: suck it up buttercups it's President Donald Trump!)
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To: GailA
👍🏻
63 posted on 01/23/2017 5:01:08 PM PST by luvie (There is no global anthem, no global citizenship. We pledge allegiance to one country, America.-DJT)
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To: mandaladon

They never tell you how many will die if they don’t repeal obamacare.


64 posted on 01/23/2017 5:05:48 PM PST by the_daug
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To: mandaladon

I bet Jonathan Gruber contributed to the research for this story.


65 posted on 01/23/2017 5:20:45 PM PST by matt1234 (Jan. 20, 2017: the national nightmare ended.)
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To: roadcat

The plan the pub’s took off the shelf today would likely save up to 300,000 lives per year not including abortions. By seriously reducing healthcare cost and health insurance cost, you get a multiplier effect. When people pay their own med bill, they look for a better deal. that alone would drop prices 15-20%. If you get rid of the middle men (gov and insurance co) that’s another 40%. currently 1hr of md patient time requires 3hr of back office.)

If the trumpster gets the gov out of med, you could see a 75% reduction in cost and likely a 60% in spending. @ $2tr/yr that alone almost balances the budget.


66 posted on 01/23/2017 5:25:11 PM PST by waynesa98
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To: mandaladon

86.67% of all statistics are made up.


67 posted on 01/23/2017 5:25:14 PM PST by rfp1234 (DinosorosExtinction)
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To: mandaladon

But keeping it will kill 74,963.

I just pulled that from the top of my head the same way they did.


68 posted on 01/23/2017 5:26:57 PM PST by tiki
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To: mandaladon

“...43,956 deaths annually.”

I hope they were all in the protests this weekend.


69 posted on 01/23/2017 5:27:01 PM PST by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: rfp1234

Funny, my post came directly after yours.


70 posted on 01/23/2017 5:28:15 PM PST by tiki
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To: waynesa98

I don’t doubt your info. Good work, and thank you. I was being tongue-in-cheek with my posts. But it’s good to see you and others pushing back on the liberal narrative by providing opposing positive effects of repealing Obamacare. Me and my wife are fortunate to have good healthcare. Not so for my youngest daughter and her child, on Obamacare. She’s starting a new job next week that pays more than her old job, that’ll help offset healthcare costs. So much for the “Affordable” Care Act, a total disaster.


71 posted on 01/23/2017 5:46:08 PM PST by roadcat
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To: mandaladon

Harry Reid said 5000 would die per week without Obamacare...


72 posted on 01/23/2017 5:50:06 PM PST by ChinaGotTheGoodsOnClinton (Go Egypt on 0bama)
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To: mandaladon

All along, they have been saying that ‘[11 million are signed up for Obamacare’. NOW it suddenly is 20 million?

Funny how those same TWO numbers are part of the lies about the invading illegals here.


73 posted on 01/23/2017 6:38:20 PM PST by ridesthemiles
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To: Jeff Chandler

I hope he gets the right ones. That crowd at the march might be a good pool from which to draw.


74 posted on 01/23/2017 7:35:05 PM PST by madprof98
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To: mandaladon

They need to include how many are dying each year because they were FORCED from the insurance onto Obamacare.


75 posted on 01/23/2017 8:05:07 PM PST by VeniVidiVici
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To: Jeff Chandler

Bwahahhahhahhhaha!

That right there, may be the dumbest headline I’ve ever read.


76 posted on 01/23/2017 9:29:48 PM PST by Bshaw (A nefarious deceit is upon us all!)
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To: mandaladon
Repealing the Affordable Care Act will kill more than 43,000 people annually

Why that's more than Cecil B. DeMille.
/obscure Blazing Saddles reference

77 posted on 01/23/2017 9:32:51 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: Jeff Chandler
Which ones?

Been on here a year or two. Top 5 post.

78 posted on 01/23/2017 9:40:00 PM PST by Stentor
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To: Stentor; Bshaw
Been on here a year or two. Top 5 post.

Almost as good as the campaign headline:

Trump Grabs Hillary’s Virginia

79 posted on 01/23/2017 11:58:44 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (Everywhere is freaks and hairies Dykes and fairies Tell me where is sanity?)
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To: mandaladon

Same story as Chicago Tribune put out - fake scare tactics as the folks they are talking about have been kicking the bucket at a higher rate since Obama Care than before it.....


80 posted on 01/24/2017 3:20:28 AM PST by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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