Posted on 11/07/2016 2:03:47 PM PST by Innovative
Hispanic voters were largely credited with President Obamas victory in 2012, but they werent as crucial as many believed. Mr. Obama didnt even need to win the Hispanic vote to put him over the top, thanks to high black turnout and support among white voters in the North. The turnout among Hispanic voters didnt surge, even though exit polls implied that it had.
This year, Hispanic voters, perhaps motivated by Donald J. Trumps policy proposals (including deportation) and harsh language aimed at undocumented Hispanic immigrants, really might decide this election. Early voting data unequivocally indicates that Hillary Clinton will benefit from a long awaited surge in Hispanic turnout, vastly exceeding the Hispanic turnout from four years ago.
Its too soon to say whether it will be decisive for her. The geographic distribution of Hispanic voters means that many of her gains will help her in noncompetitive states like Texas and California, not Michigan and Pennsylvania.
But the surge is real, and its big. It could be enough to overcome Mr. Trumps strength among white-working class voters in the swing states of Florida and Nevada. If it does, it will almost certainly win her the election.
In Florida, voters who indicated they were Hispanic on their voter registration form represent more than 15 percent of the early vote. In 2012, Hispanic voters were just 12 percent of the final electorate.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Haitians count as “Hispanics” now?
I used to go to a Catholic church outside of Tucson. People sat in the same pews Sunday after Sunday. Pretty much the whole town was represented for the five mass sessions. It was mostly third generation Mexican.
You could count the number of conservatives easily These communion taking Catholics they were generationally entrenched Democrats that knowingly approved of abortion.
That’s what I’m sayin’. They abuse categories to inflate either black or Hispanic.
White rural voters are turning out on mass- are they going to talk about a “White voter surge...”?
re: Youd think the others from places south of the border, would know corrupt politicians as well.
In Mexico PRI is the party of corruption and the current president. PAN is the party of the 2 previous presidents. Calderon was a Santorum style social conservative. Fox was a libertarian leaning type. PRD is the 3d party, the party of Occuply WallStreet types.
People of Mexican heritage bring one (or a combination) of these politics with them to the US. They are not all the same. But they can be united in their vote at times.
In a working/lower middle class heavily Hispanic suburb I got 100% of the Hispanic vote for the most conservative, anti-corruption slate in a 3 way race against corrupt Republicans and Union Dems. (Except 1 Puerto Rican lady on welfare.)
It can be done.
The current Gov of Puerto Rico is corrupt Dem. But his predecessor was Freedom Caucus Republican. The big change in FL is the massive movement of Puerto Ricans fleeing the Puerto Rico of the current Dem Governor. If approached properly, they can be won over to Trump.
Well, that’s encouraging!
Most Hispanics want the welfare state. No amount of pandering will change that. Proof? John McCain WROTE the 2006 amnesty bill...and got only 22% of the Hispanic vote. Screw them all and get out the WHITES.
Trump is getting 42% of the Latino vote. Between the Cubans, the legal immigrants who prefer speaking English, and the men in that highly Macho culture who WILL NOT vote for some angry lily-white harridan and prefer supporting a REAL man, I think the “Hispanic surge” means a Trump Landslide.
I pray you’re right.
Now there you go, with those racist ideas... </s>
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