Siena New York Poll (C 51; T 34); Obama destroyed Romney by 28 in 2012

Siena College ^ | 11/6/16 | Siena

[Ravi]

Loudonville,NY . Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump by double digits, although the gap has narrowed a little to 17 points (51-34 percent), down from 24 points(54-30 percent ),according to a new Siena College poll of likely New York State registered voters released today.

[Vaduz]

And Obama only won with 48% of the people who voted things have CHANGED.

[OttawaFreeper]

I have a Facebook friend in New Jersey and he says that it is only the northern part that is liberal Democrat and that the rest, particularly the south, is very Republican and especially this time around.

[stonehouse01]

The Siena College Research Institute has some relationship with the New York Times, although I did not look into it to see what this entails.

I live in Cohoes, NY about 5 miles from Siena and I can tell you that Loudonville itself has more Trump signs out than Hillary. Also the upstate Cental Leatherstocking region hates Hillary and all have Trump signs out; rural Saratoga County where we were driving yesterday had Trump signs (no Hillary, maybe one), and the southern tier is all in for Trump.

There are almost no Hillary signs and there are plenty of Trump signs, including the capital district suburbs. Waterford has Johnson signs out which means the blue collar union democrats there don’t want Hillary either, even if they won’t vote Trump, and they may vote Trump quietly.

Clinton may win New York but not by 17. No way.

Siena (Franciscan) is polluted with CINO liberals.

[Wright Wing]

Yes, the NY suburbs of NY and the Princeton area are very liberal and more populated. Interesting anecdote from party last night. Three women friends came out and said they were voting for Trump but of course said they weren’t telling anyone. There may be something to the hidden Trump vote. Guess we’ll see soon enough.

[SueRae]

I remember checking the total dem votes and the total rep. Votes for NY in the primaries. It would take more than a miracle and at least a couple hundred thousand dem votes to switch for him to win NY. But I don’t believe the margin that this poll has, either.

[Lisbon1940]

Doesn’t that pajama boy Owen live in Schenectady?

[Paddy Irish]

New York is also Hillary’s home state. (snicker)

[bob_esb]

there are 1M in NYC that rely on the City ID card to get benefits.

[gasport]

Add Souther Tier, Finger Lakes, Wine country & Tughill Plateau.

[trebb]

Thanks for the explanation - I wondered why you would bother until I rad it. Potentially more good news.

Just heard Trump in Iowa and he hit another homer.

[CodeToad]

I think New York State is open. So many people will not publicly admit in New York City that they are voting for Trump, yet, man-on-the-street polling suggests they will.

[Personal Responsibility]

Fox poll this morning at Cankles at 82% of the black vote. And also noted that black turnout was down on top of that, hence the Jay Z and Beyoncé concert.

[fortheDeclaration]

These are registered voters, which is meaningless.

[fortheDeclaration]

That is my view also, and she is losing at about 85%.

[fortheDeclaration]

If that is accurate, she is toast.

[perfect_rovian_storm]

I remember all the hand wringing on primary night, but all those people were ignoring the fact that independents can’t vote in primaries in NY and there are a lot of independents who likely favor Trump by a large margin.

That said, I don’t see Trump winning NY, but I think he can make it closer than any other R ever has.

[fieldmarshaldj]

Well, Reagan did win it in 1980 (47-44%) and 1984 (54-46%). Bush, Sr. was the last GOP Presidential candidate to get over 41% in NY in 1988, getting a respectable 48% (to Dukakis’s 52%). Dubya got 40% in 2004.