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Two Days Out! Final Impressions
self | 11/6/2016 | LS

Posted on 11/06/2016 7:37:21 AM PST by LS

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To: AmusedBystander

Well, OH was a “hillary” state. If he even gets 2% more he wins OH (and he already has).


81 posted on 11/06/2016 9:39:13 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: CodeToad; Fungi

Of course it’s true, but this wasn’t the place to include it.

This from the guy whose byline on FR used to be;

“If America falls, darkness will cover the face of the earth for a thousand years”.


82 posted on 11/06/2016 9:43:43 AM PST by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: LS
In a sane world, Trump would win all 57 states.

Either way, we both agree that he will win and that our long national nightmare with the Clintons may finally be over.

83 posted on 11/06/2016 9:56:20 AM PST by AmusedBystander (The philosophy of the school room in one generation will be the philosophy of government in the next)
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To: LS

If Trump wins there will be spontaneous celebrations everywhere across the nation.

If Hillary wins it’ll be dogs and cats living together, mass hysteria and human sacrifice.


84 posted on 11/06/2016 10:01:06 AM PST by Rebelbase (DRAIN THE SWAMP!)
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To: Be Careful

Totally.

After months and months of the media telling us that Trump is in the dumpster, how can you possibly expect them to say he won?

It would show them as two faced as many of us know they are.


85 posted on 11/06/2016 10:05:19 AM PST by djf ("She wore a raspberry beret, the kind you find in a second hand store..." - Prince)
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To: LS
Thanks for the great analysis, as always.

Hard to believe we are just hours away from knowing the outcome. I lean towards your way of seeing things. For the first time in our lifetimes, we have a real choice for president. One who is not a career politician. We've been waiting for such a choice for decades. Let's not blow it!

86 posted on 11/06/2016 10:11:14 AM PST by SamAdams76 (HRC's only chance to win is to discourage Trump voters. We Vote, we WIN! Simple as that.)
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To: LS

One correction, Trump is not just “one small state” away from winning based on your counts. He is two small states or one big state away from winning.

When you give him NC, FL, OH and IA, he still needs 10 EVs to get to 269. So the three smallest states in play would not be enough on their own.

NH - 4 EV
NV - 6 EV
CO - 9 EV
MN - 10 EV
WI - 10 EV
VA - 13 EV
MI - 16 EV
PA - 20 EV

And he can top off a 269 tie with ME CD2’s 1 EV. Or use CO and ME CD2 to get a tie.

Unfortunately, with NV and CO looking so weak in early voting, we’re left aiming for one of a handful of Hail Mary passes, wins that defy lots of polling or defy decades of presidential results. This is a bad position to be in. NV and CO were key to Trump’s map. And as I said at the time she picked Kaine, that may have been the smartest move Hillary ever made. Peeling VA off of the GOP map put the GOP candidate in a terrible electoral position right off the bat.


87 posted on 11/06/2016 10:26:49 AM PST by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: CodeToad

I haven’t seen any evidence whatsoever of real crossover voting of Dems. Crossover voting always happens in small numbers and seems like we’re seeing the same here on both sides. Anecdotal reports of seeing “blue collar Democrats” at a rally is meaningless.


88 posted on 11/06/2016 10:30:17 AM PST by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: LS

bkmk


89 posted on 11/06/2016 10:31:24 AM PST by AllAmericanGirl44 (If you ain't the lead dog, the scenery never changes.)
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To: CodeToad

Cruz is supporting Trump and has attended rallies with Pence.


90 posted on 11/06/2016 10:44:03 AM PST by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

“I haven’t seen any evidence whatsoever of real crossover voting of Dems.”

So, look harder.


91 posted on 11/06/2016 12:12:31 PM PST by CodeToad
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To: JediJones

“I haven’t seen any evidence whatsoever of real crossover voting of Dems. “

I haven’t seen evidence that they are not.


92 posted on 11/06/2016 12:12:58 PM PST by CodeToad
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To: JediJones
"Cruz is supporting Trump and has attended rallies with Pence."

At the last second Cruz has. The last second. Cruz is doing this for himself for his future run in 2018. That's it.


93 posted on 11/06/2016 12:13:54 PM PST by CodeToad
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To: LS

bump


94 posted on 11/06/2016 12:15:47 PM PST by SteveH
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To: LS

Bookmark


95 posted on 11/06/2016 12:44:42 PM PST by JDoutrider (TRUMP!)
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To: JediJones; LS

On Colorado, REPs have been gaining nearly 1% a day and are basically tied with DEMs. DEMs were up 10%, two weeks ago. On Monday, we get new CO numbers. That should be for Friday and Saturdays ballots. On Tuesday we get Mondays numbers.

So by election day, Tuesday, we will have 3 more days of CO ballots. At 1% a day, REPs could be leading by 3%, but at least by 2%.

I wouldn’t give up on CO. Right now, I’m looking at Trump 293 EV. All the safe states plus IA, OH, NC, FL, PA, NH, CO and ME District 2.


96 posted on 11/06/2016 2:04:16 PM PST by SpeedyInTexas
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To: LS

Bump


97 posted on 11/06/2016 2:19:54 PM PST by BlueCat
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To: goldbux

* * *


98 posted on 11/06/2016 3:25:40 PM PST by goldbux (When you're odd the odds are with you.)
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To: ScaniaBoy

Yes. Very good video. Emotional and inspiring.

I will pass it on.


99 posted on 11/06/2016 5:19:46 PM PST by Kay
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To: LS; randita; BillyBoy; fieldmarshaldj; GOPsterinMA; stephenjohnbanker; NFHale; StoneWall Brigade; ..

I just saw the greatest ad ever, from some PAC. Hillary with various tools and power tools destroying phones and computers. Anyone else see this?


100 posted on 11/06/2016 7:59:26 PM PST by Impy (Never Shillery, Never Schumer, Never Pelosi)
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