Posted on 11/05/2016 11:13:08 PM PDT by Helicondelta
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
Can’t be. Some boob in Nevada, amplified by Allahpundit says Harry Reid built a giant firewall for Hitlery that Trump cannot break.
All the early voting shows is ballots returned by party ID. One possibility to consider is that those Dems who voted Trump are known Dem voters and are receiving the get out the vote calls. Given the savage behavior of the ork party toward anyone who dissents, I would guess there are some Trump Dems who are lying to anyone and everyone who calls about their vote.
Actually, that's not true. The guy only had an anti-Trump sign. Someone in the crowd yelled,"Gun!". He didn't have a weapon.
You need to do some more reading, FRiend. Based on his Facebook page, he was clearly a Clinton plant. He also shows up on the Wikileaks' George Soros funded list.
Facts:
He had already voted.
He voted for Hillary Clinton.
He was in the front row at a Trump rally.
He had bad intentions, which is the only reason he was there!
This poll loses some credibility with me simply by the way they present their information. Trump at 49.61%, +-3.02%?
It is sheer nonsense to even attempt to state uncertainty down to one hundredth of a percent, and reveals a lack of basic understanding of statistics.
I never said the incident didn’t happen or that he wasn’t a Clinton supporter. I said he didn’t try to kill Trump.
The polls indicate Nevada is close. But, most of the polls assume the demographics of those who vote will replicate the demographics of 2012; and, the other side lacks enthusiasm.
This is where the Early Vote may play a role. For our side, voting early is a matter of convenience. For the other side, early voting gives their machine more time to bus people to the polls in spite of their people’s reluctance to vote.
In North Carolina and Florida, the other side has fallen behind their Early Vote targets and there’s probably nothing they can do about it at this time. My guess is that we will out-perform the polls in those two states. In Nevada, the other side looks to have done well in the Early Vote, and so my guess is that the polls are o.k. I think this means we win Nevada by a narrow margin.
Some good data in this thread. The 6 EVs could be crucial. Lets hope WI comes through and then we don’t have to worry about it.
My understanding was that early voting actually favored Trump, because Indies were breaking for Trump 2:1.
Early voting is meaningless.
Exactly!
It is a nice cushion
This is the racist premise that liberals would love us all to believe. That Republicans by their nature abandon Hispanics and Blacks, ceding them to the Democrats. Unfortunately many hear buy into it and get alarmed with rising percentages of these subgroups.
Instead of writing off huge swaths of the nation, clinging to a declining white demographic base, perhaps the Republicans would do better to reach out to Hispanics and Blacks and show them that there is a better way. In other words, bring them aboard!
Donald Trump is the first Republican nominee in a long time to recognize this and reach out to them with a positive message. He's had a tough road to hoe what with the media and panicked Democrats trying to paint him as a racist 24/7 (their worst fear is that he will be successful in this). But I'm convinced that once Trump is elected, he will do such a great job for them that if he runs for re-election in 2020, it will be a total blowout with Hispanics and Blacks abandoning the Democrats and coming over to the Republicans.
This will be the way to keep states like TX red and flip states like CA, NY and IL.
I would be shocked if Heck doesn’t win by a greater )or lose by a smaller) margin.
It’s only a lead with 50% of voters as half have already voted and Ds have 73,000 lead.
Now, what we don’t know is D crossovers and how indies went
Actually that lead is 44,000. I have seen that 73,000 number floating around but incorrect.
Go here. Go to right side for General Election and click cumulative turnout.
http://nvsos.gov/sos/elections/voters/election-turnout-statistics
So maybe they need to find out what the political leanings are of people such as myself who their "methodology" won't reach.
[My informal survey has us 100% for TRUMP !]
ML/NJ
I figure with D crossovers at 5% and Is, the magic number to cover here on election day is somewhere around 10-20,000 votes. Is that your take?
Yes may be even less than that. Search user Owen. He laid it out pretty elegantly
Also of note to Nevada there is an independent American party registered there they have 63000 voters registered for this particular party that is approximately 6% of all registered voters in the state. When they vote in Nevada they get lumped in with the others I want to know how many of them have voted
If you read their platform online these are not Democratic friendly voters
“There is absolutely nothing else one can read into, or out of, early voting stats!”
Says you.
Early voter stats are huge since they make up so much of the vote. They can make up more than half of all votes cast.
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