OK — that’s probably a good summary of where things stand right now.
This is my map right now
http://www.270towin.com/maps/QBwYY
Giving him Ohio and Iowa (no dem leads for a while and early voting for dems isnt promising there)
Maine’s 2nd for obvious reasons
New Hampshire because there is no early voting whatsoever, and people seem to distrust Hillary there in very high margins (disgruntled Bernie voters also in play).
For the swing states: Nevada, Colorado, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and North Carolina
No Wisconsin because I dont see a single poll with Trump up there, ever. New Mexico... polling is scant, but i can’t bring myself to believe it. Virginia is in tossup only after two polls put Trump ahead, but this one is the most likely to go to Hillary. North Carolina by similar margins i put closest to Trump. In order, from most likely Hillary, to most likely Trump
Virginia
Nevada
Pennsylvania
Florida
Michigan
Colorado
North Carolina