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538 Nate has Trump moving up now almost 30% chance of winning.
fivethirtyeight.com ^ | 11/1/2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 11/01/2016 3:18:13 PM PDT by IVAXMAN

Nate Silver has Trump's odds of winning at 29%. Been slowly climbing all day.

He has been wrong about Trump every time but the new polls are making him move.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 538; 538trumpelection; natesilver; silver
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1 posted on 11/01/2016 3:18:13 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: IVAXMAN

Nothing says accuracy like Nate Silver... lol


2 posted on 11/01/2016 3:19:12 PM PDT by GregoTX
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To: IVAXMAN

It appears he has a “lag time” of about three weeks.


3 posted on 11/01/2016 3:20:22 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Clintoon will be the "historical" first unindicted felon to sit in the Oval Office. Be proud!)
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To: IVAXMAN

Nate has never made on, single accurate prediction about Trump. Not one.


4 posted on 11/01/2016 3:21:14 PM PDT by Ikemeister
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To: IVAXMAN

RCP has finally posted the NC SurveyUSA poll on the NC page, but hasn’t changed NC to Trump ... yet.


5 posted on 11/01/2016 3:21:14 PM PDT by Savage Rider
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To: IVAXMAN

Nate Plastic’s slow march to irrelevancy.

He can join Zogby on the ash-heap of fads of the polling world.


6 posted on 11/01/2016 3:21:22 PM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: FlingWingFlyer
It appears he has a “lag time” of about three weeks.

That works. He should have the election called correctly by around Thanksgiving. Or one would like to think so. :smirk:

7 posted on 11/01/2016 3:21:54 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: IVAXMAN

I see Trump with strong or likely 265 EVs. So, all he has to do is pick up ONE of the following to win:

NM
CO
WI
MI
PA


8 posted on 11/01/2016 3:22:06 PM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: IVAXMAN

What the #@%$ is a “Nate Silver”?


9 posted on 11/01/2016 3:22:17 PM PDT by LIConFem ( III)
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To: IVAXMAN

Oh for crying out loud, LSM, get a clue. NOBODY BELIEVES YOU ANYMORE! Nobody trusts you anymore!


10 posted on 11/01/2016 3:23:17 PM PDT by uncitizen (Drain.The.Swamp!)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

It appears he has a “lag time” of about three weeks.


Yes that is the BIG issue with him, his dependency on polling and when events move fast he is caught lagging.

But don’t worry he will show Trump ahead after next Tuesday’s election when the model catches up.


11 posted on 11/01/2016 3:23:28 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: Ikemeister

Then let’s hope he keeps saying Trump has no shot at the WH.


12 posted on 11/01/2016 3:23:55 PM PDT by deadrock (I is someone else.)
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To: ought-six

I see Trump with strong or likely 265 EVs. So, all he has to do is pick up ONE of the following to win:

NM
CO
WI
MI
PA


Yep and Trump has momentum headed down the stretch !!!


13 posted on 11/01/2016 3:24:53 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: IVAXMAN

Natalie slowly bringing in the boobies who follow her. Her special sauce sure fools a lot of them.


14 posted on 11/01/2016 3:26:27 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: ought-six

And make sure the Mormon doesn’t cause him to lose Utah.


15 posted on 11/01/2016 3:28:56 PM PDT by Rusty0604
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To: IVAXMAN

This hack has been wrong every time he shakes his magic ball.


16 posted on 11/01/2016 3:29:40 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small pittance)
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To: IVAXMAN

shouldn’t it be Hillary at 30%?


17 posted on 11/01/2016 3:30:47 PM PDT by Pence_Dispenser
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To: LIConFem

It’s like a hemorrhoid, only worse


18 posted on 11/01/2016 3:31:05 PM PDT by sofaman (An enemy generally says and believes what he wishes. Thomas Jefferson)
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To: IVAXMAN

Nate Silver

Stereotypical urban lib

Why does anyone bother with him?

He’s hardly Lefty Rosenthal


19 posted on 11/01/2016 3:32:50 PM PDT by wardaddy (the traitorous GOPe deserves Third of May 1808 if ever a party did....)
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To: IVAXMAN

In other words, he will be right by wed morning... lol


20 posted on 11/01/2016 3:33:03 PM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap")
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