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ABC Poll: Trump Leads Clinton By 1 Point as enthusiasm declines
ABC ^ | 11/1/16 | Gary Langer

Posted on 11/01/2016 7:22:31 AM PDT by ek_hornbeck

Strong enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has ebbed since the renewal of the FBI’s email investigation.

While vote preferences have held essentially steady, she’s now a slim point behind Donald Trump -- a first since May -- in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; clinton; polls; trump
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An interesting aside:

Third-party candidate Gary Johnson has 3 percent, a new low; Jill Stein, 2 percent.

In just about every election, third party candidates poll several times higher early on in the race than they do as election day approaches. Then the races tighten up and fringe candidates become irrelevant.

Another rule of thumb is that whatever Trump is polling at, add a couple of points on account of voters trying to sound "respectable" and not admitting that they're voting for Trump.

1 posted on 11/01/2016 7:22:31 AM PDT by ek_hornbeck
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To: ek_hornbeck

If he’s up 1 in the ABC poll he must be actually up 6.


2 posted on 11/01/2016 7:23:28 AM PDT by littleharbour
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To: ek_hornbeck

And others just acting like it’s none of the pollster’s business.


3 posted on 11/01/2016 7:24:08 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: littleharbour

The ground is tilting. Trumpalanche!


4 posted on 11/01/2016 7:24:30 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Embrace the Lion of Judah and He will roar for you and teach you to roar too. See my page.)
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To: ek_hornbeck

I don’t see no declining enthusiasm! GO TRUMP!


5 posted on 11/01/2016 7:25:04 AM PDT by going hot
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To: littleharbour

Where was this “strong enthusiasm” for Hillary Clinton?

I do not recall ever seeing any.


6 posted on 11/01/2016 7:25:29 AM PDT by marktwain
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To: ek_hornbeck

“enthusiasm”

You mean like the huge rallies she has..that enthusiasm?


7 posted on 11/01/2016 7:25:45 AM PDT by Leep (Last Days of Hillary)
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To: littleharbour

Ya, that occurred to me too.

If an ABC poll, a mainstream media poll, shows Trump up at all, he’s probably really up by a few points more than they are willing to show in a poll.


8 posted on 11/01/2016 7:26:52 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: ek_hornbeck

The damn has broken and the flood to Trump is on!


9 posted on 11/01/2016 7:26:54 AM PDT by Uncle Sam 911
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To: Leep

They mean “enthusiasum for HRC declines”.... but they just can’t bring themselves to say that in the headline. The poll shows just that.


10 posted on 11/01/2016 7:27:56 AM PDT by theyalllie
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To: Leep
You mean like the huge rallies she has..that enthusiasm?

Well, the 4 of 'em DID look happy, so......

11 posted on 11/01/2016 7:28:32 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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To: littleharbour

I popped back and forth between MSNBC and CNN just to hear the narrative unfold.

Topics:

Hillary’s pushing back harder than ever

Mounting criticism against James Comey

There’s nothing in those emails

James Comey may have broken the law

Trump’s tax evasion

Paul Manafort has business ties to Russian politicians and the Russian Mob the FBI “is looking into”

Hillary is still up by 6, no change since probe reopened

It’s just funny to watch the stuck pigs squeal.


12 posted on 11/01/2016 7:29:03 AM PDT by Eddie01 (Democrats are the Liquidate America Party)
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To: ek_hornbeck

Whatchu talkin’ bout, Willis??? Trump’s enthusiasm is bigger than ever! Better headline: Clinton’s Enthusiasm Declines as FBI Investigation Resumes


13 posted on 11/01/2016 7:29:06 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: Leep
You mean like the huge rallies she has..that enthusiasm?

Hillary's rallies used to be in the dozens. Now that they're in the hundreds, they're called "enthusiasm."

Other than among dumpy lesbians and geriatric feminists, there never has been and there never will be any real excitement or enthusiasm for Hillary. People just agreed to vote for her because they're convinced by the mass media that Trump and Republicans are devils.

14 posted on 11/01/2016 7:29:52 AM PDT by ek_hornbeck
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To: ek_hornbeck

Now watch what will happen next: the media and the Never-Trumpers will say that Trump will win the popular vote but lose the Electoral vote.


15 posted on 11/01/2016 7:30:10 AM PDT by eekitsagreek
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To: marktwain

Yes, saw “enthusiasm” in headline and thought they were trying to sell that enthusiasm for Trump had declined. Ha.


16 posted on 11/01/2016 7:30:38 AM PDT by smileyface (Things looking up in blue PA)
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To: marktwain

The most enthusiasm I have seen has been summed up from people saying something along the lines of , “I hate Trump, he has zero experience, and he is rude, so I will go for Hillary.” That’s more spite than enthusiasm.


17 posted on 11/01/2016 7:30:44 AM PDT by Morpheus2009
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To: ek_hornbeck

She can barely attract 300 people to her events... Where is this “strong enthusiasm” they claim to see?


18 posted on 11/01/2016 7:31:52 AM PDT by Mr. K (Trump is running against EVERYONE. The Democrats, The Media, and the establishment GOP)
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To: Morpheus2009

UNEXPECTED


19 posted on 11/01/2016 7:32:03 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: ek_hornbeck
Dem vote turnout will be lower. Republican turnout will be up, and Trump can even bring those who went off the political grid for decades.

Still this is a poll showing 1% lead. They can easily flip it to the one showing Trump is behind 3~4% right before the election day. Don't freak out if it happens. After all this ABC poll which has been one of the most biased polls.

20 posted on 11/01/2016 7:32:14 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster (alt.current-events.clinton.whitewater)
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