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New poll has Trump ahead
INN ^ | 10/31/16 18:49 | Gary Willig

Posted on 10/31/2016 8:38:13 PM PDT by Olog-hai

Donald Trump has taken a two point lead over rival Hillary Clinton, according to the latest USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” poll.

According to the poll, which was largely conducted before the FBI announced that it had found new emails that may be relevant to its investigation into Clinton’s private email server, Trump is leading among respondents by 46.2 percent to Clinton’s 43.8 percent. …

(Excerpt) Read more at israelnationalnews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; dornsife; latimes; trump

1 posted on 10/31/2016 8:38:13 PM PDT by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai

which was largely conducted before the FBI announced


2 posted on 10/31/2016 8:39:20 PM PDT by Eddie01 (Democrats are the Liquidate America Party)
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To: Olog-hai

One day old. The lead on that poll is now Trump+3.4.


3 posted on 10/31/2016 8:40:08 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Olog-hai

Tim Kaine will be in Arizona tomorrow giving a speech entirely in spanish. This should change things lol.


4 posted on 10/31/2016 8:41:58 PM PDT by eaglestar
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To: Olog-hai

It was funny, tonight on BOR’s show the Turd Blossom, Karl Rove was pontificating as usual about being cautious about “some polls” i.e. those that show Trump in the lead, because they weren’t “done right”. Then he turns right around and praises the RCP Average, which includes those crappy polls! In other words, the meat is rotten but when you throw it in the soup with a bunch of other stuff, it’s somehow better.

I really REALLY hope we will be able - in just over one week - to laugh our asses off at the pundits and talking head so-called experts. That will be just as sweet as seeing Hillary defeated.


5 posted on 10/31/2016 8:43:17 PM PDT by bigbob (The Hillary indictment will have to come from us.)
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To: Eddie01

respondents = the fools who pick up the phone

Trump strategy, keep ‘em guessing.

I don’t answer the phone for pollsters.

They don’t know about me and there are a lot of me.

Pollsters always fail on judgment day.

They back evil when it suits them.


6 posted on 10/31/2016 8:48:12 PM PDT by Eddie01 (Democrats are the Liquidate America Party)
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To: CatOwner
One day old. The lead on that poll is now Trump+3.4.

What time did that finally come out this morning?

7 posted on 10/31/2016 8:49:38 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Everywhere is freaks and hairies Dykes and fairies, tell me where is sanity?)
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To: CatOwner
The lead on that poll is now Trump+3.4.

The Dam just broke ...

8 posted on 10/31/2016 8:55:20 PM PDT by 11th_VA (#boycottNFL)
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To: eaglestar

Just remember: A vote for Hillary is really a vote for the evil clown known as Tim Kaine.


9 posted on 10/31/2016 9:01:02 PM PDT by proudpapa (Trump Pence 2016!!)
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To: Olog-hai

http://cesrusc.org/election/

More importantly, the numbers lie at the very edge of the 95% confidence level. If this trend continues, tomorrow Trump will break out above that line, meaning that he has a 95% chance of winning!


10 posted on 10/31/2016 9:05:43 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: Olog-hai
According to Phil Ross, principal social media analyst for Socialbakers, a social media analytics and marketing firm, changes are taking place in the community of undecided voters. “What I’m seeing is that there’s a potential for undecided voters to come out for Trump.”

Ross said that his group is monitoring conversations on social media where the election is being discussed, and he said he’s seeing a growing movement there. “There’s a group that’s not being polled that may come out,” he said, noting that many of them are apparently supporting Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Ross said that his measurements are based most strongly on shares on social media. “The more sharable the content is, the more likely undecided voters will hear the message,” Ross said. He said that while he can also measure likes and comments, he feels that shares are the most important measure.

“What I’m seeing is that Trump’s controversies are inspiring a lot of fan growth. The content he is amplifying, while limited, is much more than Clinton is seeing.” Ross said that such content can be important to the undecided voters who may ultimately decide the Presidential election of 2016. “There may be a silent Trump fan base,” he said.

Social Media Analysis 31 Oct 2016

11 posted on 10/31/2016 9:06:58 PM PDT by 11th_VA (#boycottNFL)
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To: vette6387

PTL !!!


12 posted on 10/31/2016 9:08:15 PM PDT by 11th_VA (#boycottNFL)
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To: Olog-hai

Nate Silver over at 538 sounds ambiguous tonight & he’s all over the place. That Clinton confidence he’s been peddling is gone !


13 posted on 10/31/2016 9:08:36 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: bigbob

“Then he turns right around and praises the RCP Average”

You mean like the ONLINE NBC News/Survey Monkey poll that came out today showing no change at all in the numbers from last week, inspite of Sat and Sun being in the mix? This push poll also included a 1,000 more dems that republicans. A few months ago RCP refused to use online polls, saying their not reliable because you can vote over and over. Now that Clinton needs to be shown leading they have no problem with including them in their list of the nation’s most reliable polls.

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/poll-clinton-maintains-national-lead-over-trump-despite-fbi-letter-n675771


14 posted on 10/31/2016 9:23:39 PM PDT by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: bigbob

AZ Freeper will shout:

“Encerrarla!”

- Lock Her(self) Up! -


15 posted on 10/31/2016 9:46:38 PM PDT by Thickman (Obama - Professor of the United States)
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To: Eddie01

My guess is that Trump has been leading on the USC/LAT poll for several weeks. On EWTN tonight Trump gave a good interview with Raymond Arroyo and after the interview Raymond and another commentator said, How can a Catholic vote for Clinton after learning that she lack tolerance for Catholics and has done nothing politically for Catholics. The fact that Trump sat down with Raymond on EWTN sends a healthy message to voters.


16 posted on 10/31/2016 9:55:08 PM PDT by Falconspeed ("Keep your fears to yourself, but share your courage with others." Robert Louis Stevenson (1850-94))
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To: Falconspeed

Trump killed her on abortion in the third debate like no GOP nominee has ever described the abhorance before. She had no moral or even sympathetic response. That alone should make all Catholics pro Trump.


17 posted on 10/31/2016 10:02:12 PM PDT by Thickman (Obama - Professor of the United States)
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To: eaglestar

Kaine knows nothing about Arizona.

It is FAR less Mexicanized than California.

He will only outrage people - especially in Maricopa County - and make Hillary more of a laughingstock than she is now.


18 posted on 10/31/2016 10:20:04 PM PDT by Regulator
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