Posted on 10/31/2016 6:45:30 PM PDT by mathprof
Maryland elections officials expect record turnout during early voting this year, which runs from Thursday, Oct. 27 to Thursday, Nov. 3 at select polling locations. Here's a look at how daily early voting stacks up against the 2012 general election, the first time early voting was used in Maryland during a presidential contest.
(Excerpt) Read more at baltimoresun.com ...
I was checking about the stats of first day voting 2012 vs 2016 before FBI, and R's were doing a bit better here, but not by much.
That’s a good point.
That increased voter enthusiasm on the first couple of days...
Somehow I doubt that was aimed at Hillary.
I agree. I voted early on the first day and it took me 45 minutes, with half standing in the rain.
Sorry for posting this in “Breaking News”, BTW.
Most Dem voters in Baltimore just wait until the polls close and let the poll workers fill out their ballots for them
I predict Trump will win a minimum of 40 states.
Trump will win 19 or 20 counties in Maryland.
He’ll likely lose Montgomery, PG, and Baltimore City. Mayeb Charles and Howard.
If turnout is down in those, Trump will take Maryland’s ten electoral votes.
Ping!
Maybe all 57 of them.
Good post. With no blacks on the Dem ticket some of the Maryland counties you listed may have a relatively light Dem turnout. Maryland has a Rep governor so its possible for Trump to win the state, but I would’t bet on it.
If Trump wins Maryland, he’s the 45th president.
Maryland “Freak State” PING!
Charles is disgustingly democrat now. Hogan didn’t carry it while winning statewide.
You’re probably right about that. Maryland is a deep blue state. A victory there would not bode well for Hillary.
Not overwhelmingly so, though. Anthony Brown only won Charles by 5%, 52-47% in 2014. Way down from the 61-37% landslide for O’Malley in 2010. It was similar to then-Gov. Ehrlich’s losing margin in 2006, when O’Malley topped him 51-48%.
As long as he gets the needed 270 electoral college votes, I am happy
Modest clarification: Charles is potentially competitive for Hogan in the 2018 Governor’s race given his narrow loss in 2014 against a favored candidate (and drastically closing the wide gap for the Dem in ‘10), but in Presidential races, unless Trump really performs spectacularly, it’s heavily Dem by almost 2-to-1, going 65-33% for Zero in ‘12 (dropping from 37% in ‘08, one of the minority of counties that increased their performance for Zero). Way back in 1988 when the GOP last won the state Presidentially, Charles went for Bush, Sr. by the inverse (from today) margin of 64-36%.
Just as an aside, Bush, Sr.’s performance in neighboring PG County in ‘88 was a respectable 39% (to Dukakis’s 60%). Willard in 2012 got just over 9%(!) there to Zero’s 90%. That margin is so ludicrously lopsided as to call into question how much Dem chicanery is going on in that county (which is worse than even Baltimore City). Hogan got just under 15% there. Back in 2002, Ehrlich got 23%.
Please put me on the Freak State Ping List.
Turnout will be down across the board everywhere for Hillary, not just in MD, but will it, combined with Trumps enthusiasm be enough to take MD?
I’d love to see it, but I wouldn’t bet my paycheck on it.
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