Memo: The issue involving Hillary Clinton and Anthony Weiner should henceforth be known as the "Hillary-Weiner Scandal" because every time I hear it, it make me giggle like a school girl.
Posted on 10/31/2016 3:02:30 AM PDT by FlyingFish
Clinton's Lead Shrinks To 1 Point As Voters React To The FBI's Email Bombshell
Hillary Clinton's lead over Donald Trump has all but disappeared since the email scandal exploded on the scene Friday. She currently holds a 1-point lead — 45% to 44% — in a four-way race, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. Just two days ago, Clinton's lead over Trump had reached 4 points.
Support for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson continues to ebb as the election nears, with his support dropping to just 4%. Green Party candidate Jill Stein is at 2%.
In a two-way matchup that excludes Johnson and Stein, Clinton's lead over Trump is now less than 2 points — 45.1% to 43.4%. (The unrounded numbers for the four-way race have Clinton at 44.7%, Trump at 43.7%, Johnson at 4.2%, and Stein at 2.3%.)
The FBI's bombshell announcement on Friday is clearly driving a shift in voter sentiment.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
She’s still got a lot more potential electoral votes than him though and the possibility still very much exists she could win, but we will see what happens this week. Never underestimate the moronic public that elected Obama twice.
This poll uses a weighted sample of D+7.
LS was discussing the early vote in NV last night on Twitter and according to him NV looks bad for Trump. Hope he pulls it out but he does look better in other states.
RIGHT ON THE MONEY!!!
We cannot be sure about the Electoral College and how many of them have been “bought” ahead of time. The public voted for Obama twice so... it is very conceivable that they will ignore the truth and place her AND HUMA in the White House, G-d forbid.
IBD uses a D +7% to D +9% in an R +2% election. No Hillary is not winning.
Wonderful poll! /s
Raw data: D: 31.6%, R: 36.5%, I: 31.9%
Weighted data: D: 39.9%, R: 32.7%, I: 27.4%
Note that Trump is leading 48% to 32% among I.
So, not only is D+7% but the proportion I is underweighted, otherwise no lead for H.
This poll is D+7. It assumes that Hillary will get a bigger turnout than Obama. But we already know from multiple reports that black turnout is down by double digits in early voting.
Reweighted to +12 in Hillary’s favor (from raw to weighted).
She has no lead, nor has she ever. D+7? Please.
When it’s this close, it will all come down to who is able to motivate the most turnout.
Memo: The issue involving Hillary Clinton and Anthony Weiner should henceforth be known as the "Hillary-Weiner Scandal" because every time I hear it, it make me giggle like a school girl.
LoL and wow IBD straight up poll is R +5. So they re-weight it by subtracting R -12% for a D +7.
The pollsters are going to be off by double digits for their Hellary. All for their liberal and socialistic ideology they’ll lie.
To cover the D+ voting fraud. This poll was the most accurate in predicting the 2008 and 2012 Obama victories/margins.
This looks like the D and R vote turnout will be roughly equal in this election.
That means we are looking at Trump by 7 percentage points—which means MI, WI, PA and VA are his to win (among the big states that are currently “called” for Hillary by the “experts”).
He might lose NV. :-)
This website below is probably bias to a degree, I’ve double checked their numbers with other polls and they are usually off 3 or 4 points, but even with that, it don’t look good at all for Trump. He’s got to pretty much pull off a miracle at this point. Pennsylvania absolutely infuriates me. Here is this woman Hillary who told them directly that she is going to destroy their economy by shutting down coal mines, steel mills, more regulations, more EPA fascism, and what does Penn. do? They support her! WTF? Same with New Mexico where Clinton is ahead by 10 points. Are they kidding me? They got the Mexican version of ISIS on the other side of their border and these absolute morons are supporting a woman who wants to get rid of borders?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
This poll uses a weighted sample of D+7.
____________________________________________
These polls do not recognize voters who haven’t voted in past elections that are voting this time.
This far the NV numbers look a little better than 2012 though, correct?
IBD has a moving baseline that they “correct” for in every poll. Some days it’s R +2% and today it’s R +5% that they polled. A few days ago, the re-weighted their poll by D +9 to give Hell the lead. They don’t care as long as they keep her out in front.
Yes.
Trump has to make up a lot of electoral territory.
But he has time.
Pray.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.