We are going to learn a lot in this election. The impact of social media, whether there is a silent majority (monster vote), if the State Controlled Media is as powerful as the establishment thinks it is, if European descent whites have become the new untouchables in America, if minorities and single women...and immigrants of all kinds...are the new power in the country, if TV ads and the air war still are dominant means of mass communication. All these things and plenty more will be proven or disproven.
It’s smart to concentrate on Florida right when in person early voting starts.
I feel very confident Trump will win Ohio, iowa, NC, and FL. The idea that Arizona and Georgia are battlegrounds is crazy.
This with the usual GOP states gets Trump to 258. So he has to cobble together 12 more delegates.
CO 9
NH 4
Maine 3 plus 1
NV 6
WI 10
PA 20
VA 13
I personally think IF Trump wins PA and/or WI its a landslide anyway.
So the “thread the needle strategy” he needs 12 from CO, NH, ME, NV
I can’t figure out VA. I lean toward it is lost as a blue state, but I do think the idea that rural Virginians might show up in droves and maybe some Dems sit home. So not impossible.
That gives you this map
http://www.270towin.com/maps/QxgV2
I hope my spidey senses are wrong but I keep telling people that my area in Ohio that used to be hardcore Red is slowly turning to Blue because there are no jobs so more and more people around here on going on the government dole permanently and as such they are voting for the people promising them more government goodies.