I feel very confident Trump will win Ohio, iowa, NC, and FL. The idea that Arizona and Georgia are battlegrounds is crazy.
This with the usual GOP states gets Trump to 258. So he has to cobble together 12 more delegates.
CO 9
NH 4
Maine 3 plus 1
NV 6
WI 10
PA 20
VA 13
I personally think IF Trump wins PA and/or WI its a landslide anyway.
So the “thread the needle strategy” he needs 12 from CO, NH, ME, NV
I can’t figure out VA. I lean toward it is lost as a blue state, but I do think the idea that rural Virginians might show up in droves and maybe some Dems sit home. So not impossible.
That gives you this map
http://www.270towin.com/maps/QxgV2
NJ is also possible.
I’ve been raked over the coals by New Yorkers who insist that Trump will take New York.
We’ll see. If Trump takes New York. PIAPS loses
DJT is doing five rallies in three days in Florida. That should tell us what he thinks.
Fairfax county killed VA
I told my then-landlord 30 years ago that VA has 40 Madrasahs.
GA is not now or ever was a battleground state. We will go solidly for Trump.
Also that 7% you see for Johnson is likely bogus. I see at least half that percentage breaking for Trump.