Posted on 10/19/2016 11:19:00 AM PDT by OneVike
Uh, White NON-college graduates. i.e. rednecks? ;-)
Screwed that up, I meant to go 42% — 42%
Oh well it does not change the rest of my fact findings.
Be aware being far behind with blacks is okay. 70-30 behind would be magnificient.
99-1 would not be.
Poor Erick Erickson and red state
That non-college educated gets it far more than college educated do, is a major indictment of our higher education system.
non college graduates = Americans not subjected to four years of communist indoctrination
if you could just squeeze out a little more of that magic for Va, Colorado and Penn it would be greatly appreciated..
How many white males didn’t have a college degree in 1980 vs. Today? (both percentage of population, and total number)
But, but, but-——they promised free che t-shirts with every diploma.
The question is will they show up to vote?
Historical perspective on D/R/I splits and voting percentages. Source, Cornell University Roper Center
From their studies, I show first the D / R actual result, then the D / R / I party split of those who voted in each election followed by how those party voters actually voted, and finally the race breakdown and how they voted.
act vote party reg
Year D/R/3rd D/R/I D D/R R D/R I D / R
1980 41/51/8 43/28/23 67/27/6 11/85/4 31/56/13
1984 41/59 38/35/26 74/26 7/93 36/64
1988 46/53 37/35/26 83/17 8/92 43/57
1992 43/37/19 38/35/27 77/10/13 10/73/17 38/32/30
1996 49/41/9 40/35/22 85/10/5 13/81/6 44/37/18
2000 48/48 39/35/29 87/11 8/91 46/48
2004 48/51 37/37/26 89/11 6/93 50/48
2008 53/45 39/32/29 89/10 9/90 52/44
2012 51/47 38/32/29 92/ 7 6/93 45/50
Race
Year White D/R AA D/R Hisp D/R Asian D/R
1980 88 36/56/8 10 83/14/3 2 56/37/7
1984 86 34/66 10 91/9 3 66/34
1988 85 40/60 10 89/11 3 70/30
1992 87 39/41/21 8 83/10/7 2 61/25/14 1 31/55/15
1996 83 44/46/9 10 84/12/4 5 73/21/6 1 44/48/8
2000 81 42/55 10 90/9 7 62/35 2 55/41
2004 77 41/58 11 88/11 8 53/44 2 56/43
2008 74 43/55 13 95/4 9 67/31 2 62/35
2012 72 39/59 13 93/6 10 71/27 3 73/26
So folks, you can play along at home. Pick the ratio of D / R / I turnout, race turnout splits, how those groups vote
and see what kind of outcome you get.
Personally, I’m going with 37/37/26 with D split 85/15 R split 10/90 and I 42/56 resulting in Trump winning 53 / 46.
One problem with your analysis - non-Hispanic white non college educated voters are a MUCH smaller portion of the electorate than they were in 1980 or 1984. Putting up Reagan era margins on a group that is of declining importance doesn’t get us there.
How could a black woman look at Hillary and be excited about voting for her, especially on the heels of electing Obama twice?
I’m actually looking onto at least Penn and VA. I just don’t believe Colorado is as doable. My energy level isn’t as high as it was, but I’ll see.
Actually I bet less. Since all the perks are for black, illegals and women.
White men are at the bottom of the ladder for help.
So I’ll look, but it would not shock me if the number is less.
Remember, all the liberal press touts is those with an actual 4 year degree.
How could a black woman look at Hillary and be excited about voting for her, especially on the heels of electing Obama twice?
I know a black lady and she is voting for Hillary ONLY because she is a woman. No other reason. Go figure.
If you had been on a University campus in the last decade you would know, there essentially ARE NO white male graduates. So Hillary may be leading in that demographic but there are more Unicorns and Dodo birds than that vanishing species in Millenials.
Just goes to show you what one of those college edumications can get you - Hillary Clinton. Parents should be proud that their college grads are so “intellectual” and don’t have an ounce of common sense.
Just goes to show you what one of those college edumications can get you - Hillary Clinton. Parents should be proud that their college grads are so intellectual and dont have an ounce of common sense.
Or morals.
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