Posted on 10/19/2016 7:27:45 AM PDT by rb22982
Washington, DC- Three weeks out from election day the Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Clinton’s bump from the last week or so receding just in time for the third debate. The effects of Trump’s “hot mike” incident and second debate performance appear to have subsided somewhat, and the election has reverted back to pre-debate levels
Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump among likely voters, though her lead has shrunk to 4 percentage points, with Clinton at 43% to Trump at 39%.
“There is no place in this universe, that the party split will be anything like this.”
Santa Monica
See - proves my point, Santa Monica is not in this universe!
I have rid myself of all liberals... Once in a while I run across a hornet’s nest of NTs, and they’re gone too.
In some ways, NTs are worse than liberals. At least liberals, while disgusting, don’t hide who they are. NTs claim to be conservative, when they are anything but
Trump ahead with independents by 15.
>no place in this universe
Seattle, El Ley, SF Bay Area, Nueve York, Baahston, Metro DC...
Breakdown ilkily voters Hillary:Trump
Democrats 80:08
Republicans 07:78
Independents 23:39
Trump is dominating independents. dominating
6% of GOP voters refused to say who they would vote for. Hmmm, I wonder who they’ll vote for.
Now Reuters says 4, immediately followed by Bloomberg claim a 9-point lead for Clinton
Either ABC/Reuters or NBC/Bloomberg are full of crap.
Given the state polls mostly show a tighter race, I think NBC/Bloomberg are full of crap. Especially since it looks like Reuters heavily sampling Ds.
He carries the Indis by 15 and 20% of blacks and he wins. He will carrie 25-40% of blacks.
Is this the D+34 sample?
Looks like D+14
All of them are.
Believe 2012 was +6
3% of “likely voters” wouldn’t vote for president. Really? That doesn’t even make sense!
I spent most of Saturday night arguing with 2 nevertrumpers in NC that were planning on voting for Hillary (one leans R, one leans D but was big Sanders fan). Couldn’t get either to vote for Trump unfortunately, but I think I got one to say he wouldn’t vote and the other (Bernie fan) to vote for Johnson at least rather than vote for Cankles.
Yeah, D+14 and still only up 4 is not a good sign. No wonder Ds seem so agitated on TV these days.
Unless there’s some new math going on, these numbers are quite interesting. Hillary is polling at 43% in a poll with 40% Dems sampled. Assume a 100 person poll so we can drop the percents and just talk about people polled (I know that’s not true, but it’s irrelevant to the math). Now assume 90% support for Hillary among Dems. In our 100 person poll that’s 36 Dems supporting her. That leaves only 7 out of the other 60 respondants supporting her, implying her support among Republicans and Independents is under 12%. Further, someone mentioned that Trump’s getting about 78% support among Reps. That means it’s possible that a fairly significant fraction of her support from non-Dems is coming from Republicans. If so, she is getting almost NOTHING from Independents. Even with no R support, she can’t be getting much more than 20% from I’s. You don’t hear the media mention that much, huh?
One could conclude that their internals show they must depress trumps vote. Her ceiling has not increased in any poll. Sominex doesn’t affect dead folks, and they already have their vote. Zombies included. One would have to suspend common sense to believe the collusion among the MSM, the Oligarchy and the globalists, doesn’t include the vast majority of pollsters.
Or all
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