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Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Matthew is big, bad and just downright scary, and we await the long anticipated sharp turn northward. Jamaica is completing final storm preparations. All interests in the Eastern U.S. and Bahamas should be carefully watching the track of Mighty Matthew.
Ripped straight from the NHC Discussion page:
Matthew remains south of a low-to mid-level ridge over
the western Atlantic. The dynamical models forecast this ridge to
weaken over the next 72 hours as a mid- to upper-level trough develops
over the Gulf of Mexico. This evolution should cause Matthew to turn
northwestward after 24 hours and northward by 48-72 hours. The guidance
generally agrees with this scenario. However, there is a spread between
the GFS forecast of landfall in Jamaica and eastern Cuba and the ECMWF
forecast landfall in southwestern Haiti. The guidance becomes more
divergent after 72 hours.
Cone of Death Historic Archive Loop
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Buoy 42058 Central Caribbean (in storm path)
Florida & Eastern Gulf Buoy Locations
SE Atlantic Coast Buoy Locations
SE U.S. Radar Sector
Gitmo Radar (primitive)
Jamaica Radar Loop (primitive)
If the info above doesn't satisfy your need for speed and graphics, strap yourself in for a ride to Mike's Weather Page
As you suggested, it is in progress. Regardless of the “official” parameters, the weather experts are saying Matthew is already in Cat 4 territory now. Euro model is pegging a Fla landfall for around Jupiter to Stuart at 930 mb...Cat 5 potential is there.
How much further south? My BIL lives in Ft. Lauderdale, a little north of Sunrise, east of US1 and west of A1A. My sis and the kids are in Europe,
That isn’t a grid dot in the 7:45 UTC IR image at your link. That’s one pixel of the lowest altitude yellow on the scale. Eye forming up nicely,which isn’t nice news.
Eye on the west coast as well.
http://quakes.globalincidentmap.com/
...and for the record, I think Memaw’s STILL tranked.
;-)
Not quite that far, but they will certainly get 100 mph gusts.
Summary of 500 am EDT...0900 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
about 60 mi SSE of Nassau
about 255 mi SE of West Palm Beach Florida
Max sustained winds...125 mph
Moving...NW at 12 mph...
Pressure...944 mb
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
That’s a stupid statement. Does it matter if your home is destroyed by high winds or by tidal surge? No one claims Sandy was a hurricane when it hit NY & NJ, but due to the tidal surge, it did more damage than any hurricane in the US besides Katrina. $80 billion for Katrina, $70b for Sandy, $40b for Andrew and $30b for Ike.
Take your argument off this thread. Start a new one. This thread is for folks in the path of a deadly storm today.
When I was a kid in the 70’s and 80’s, we had to watch ‘A lady called Camille’ every year in a general assembly. We were further south than your kin in Jxn though.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHEoqwAnbZE
Having watched that movie as a kiddo as part of the civil defense ‘education’ about hurricanes, it makes me physically ill to think of little old people ‘riding it out’ when they’ve never really ‘ridden one out’ like this before. It’s been a while since (over a hundred years) this part of the FL Atlantic coast has seen a storm like this.
And it’s not the wind that’s the killer although the wind will do the trick. It’s the surge on those barrier islands.
Last I looked at the SLOSH maps, Palm Beach will be getting over 10ft of storm surge. That’s OVER Palm Beach, not total surge. Hope the people staying on those little islands have somewhere to evacuate vertically when it comes.
Hurricane hunters found the central pressure is down 18mb to 944mb since last night. Big drop, strengthening.
Strengthening as predicted. Pressure (now 944) dropped quite a bit overnight. 125 mph sustained with gusts at 155 mph. Very close to getting back to Cat 4. Not good.
I came here for info on Matthew. I wasn’t the one that initially brought up Sandy. My reply was made before I realized how old the comment was.
I offer my sincere thanks to the local police for going door-to-door yesterday and scaring reality into these people. They are now safely relocated for the duration.
Their reasons for wanting to stay seem to range from not wanting their routines disturbed to a false sense of long lost youth, senility, and everything in between. "I don't feel up to traveling" was also mentioned.
Any and all posts related directly to Hurricane Matthew are appreciated.
Going in to hospital for work now. I may have to stay..not sure yet.
It is my heartfelt prayer that everyone who is wondering if they should evacuate, does it. If you’re wondering, you need to. This is not going to be like one of our afternoon florida storms, fast and intense. This is going to go on for HOURS.
God bless...
I suspect you have packed an overnight bag for the possible stay into tomorrow. Godspeed. Check in when you can.
The Josh Morgerman twitter link has recent posts/videos on it:
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/with_replies
Stay safe! Will be saying a lot of prayers!
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