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To: LS

I don’t want to be a concern troll, but doesn’t RCP have Trump gaining after the debate?


3 posted on 09/28/2016 10:53:46 AM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: MNDude

did you mean “WHY doesn’t?”

they use outdated polls weeks old in their average.


4 posted on 09/28/2016 10:55:25 AM PDT by dp0622 (IThe only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: MNDude

How would that make you a concern troll?

Anyway, I love your tagline.


8 posted on 09/28/2016 11:00:31 AM PDT by samtheman (Vote Trump)
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To: MNDude
The only post-debate poll is LATimes. The Reuters, showing her +4, is 99% pre-debate, and also D+8 sample

Rasmussen is out tomorrow by 8:30 am. All of it will be post-debate, as Rasmussen is a 2 day poll.

11 posted on 09/28/2016 11:05:42 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: MNDude
I don’t want to be a concern troll, but doesn’t RCP have Trump gaining after the debate?

If you mean the RCP average almost all of the data in that average is from before the debate. We have to wait a few days to get a good idea of the debate's impact.

Rolling averages are good in the sense that they smooth out statistical noise. However they are very bad at being current. They are by nature "lagging" indicators.

12 posted on 09/28/2016 11:05:49 AM PDT by AndyTheBear (Hating Islam is the natural consequence of caring about people in the Middle East, including Muslims)
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