Posted on 09/15/2016 5:50:38 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
Are concerns over Hillary Clinton’s health changing the equation?
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
All interviews post Sunday's feinting spell. This is (mostly) an automated caller poll.
Within the margin of lawyer. Johnson could very well be the spoiler here.
“feinting spell”
Very clever shot a dishonest Hillary or typo?
By guess at this point is 3%. Of the remaining 4%, 2% will vote for Trump and 2% will be too stoned to find the polls.
Rasputin had Hillary up by 5 a week ago.
Rasputin had Hillary up by 5 a week ago.
Ras +2
USC +6
When does the RCP average change?
I ask because that's what the liberal pundits have been citing for a month now...relying on lag time to make their faulty case that "Clinton continues to lead, in spite of..."
Will Real Clear Politics still keep Hillary with a huge lead in their poll averaging?
Every election cycle pollsters fellate themselves over third party (I contend fringe) candidates like Anderson, Nader, etc. They never get over a point or 2. Gary Johnson will not get 7%, just won’t happen. Pollsters is a profession that is last bastion of kids who got a 1.8 GPA in college Mathematics, that hard work was done in between binge drinking and growing chin pubes. throw Meteorology in there(Check it out, most Meteorologists, were bottom 50% in college) A profession of failures in college like journalists and dumb girls who graduate with elementary education degrees, you basically show up and you get a degree. You have the 4.0 Beautiful Mind Asberger imbiciles(Facebook founder example) or the C- sluts running the country right now.
RCP has her ahead 1.8. If they used 4 way race instead of 2 way they would be even
Support for Johnson has ebbed and flowed. It rose from 7 to 9 points (based on my really, really huge tracking poll) while Trump was securing the nomination. It has now fallen back to 8 points. Perhaps this particular survey’s figure of 7 will prove more current.
Tracking support for Libertarian candidates in Governor and Senator races in 2014, I saw a pattern of this support falling about in half as the election moved from mid summer to the time to get real. This explains part of the polling disaster of 2014.
If the polls show Trump to be ahead by 2 points at this time, I figure there’s a good chance he will win by 10 points because undecideds will break to him and because of the peel-off vote from Gary Johnson. In other words, this election will be like 1980.
This also has her “deplorable” attacks baked in, which in the long run, is probably more damaging than her collapse. She might emerge from her episode looking fine and claiming that she’s fully recovered from that, but she won’t be able to undo the damage she caused with the “deplorable” stuff.
Trump and Pence won’t do much to touch her health issues, but they are not going to let her elitist attack on Trump supporters go way. They’re mentioning it now every chance they get and I’m sure we’ll see it prominently featured in ads.
I tend to think it has more to do with the hours of delay before comment from Hitlery's "people" and the waffling on diagnosis. I think some people are starting to suspect a cover up. I know, it's hard to imagine people thinking the Clinton's might lie. (If I need a sarc tag there I've left free republic.)
The RCP creeps are huge Never Trumpers.
They blew their cover during the GOP primary.
Big DC insider trolls .
There crap is pure Bull$hit .
They carefully cherry pick the polls to consider .
They are are lies and Spin.
So 9% are undecided?
RCP has been very shady for several years. This year Media is citing them all the time. Never heard that before this election.
RCP rushed out another poll to counteract the above information. CBS/NYT has Clinton +2. It is a Dem +4 Poll and weighted to Dem +6. So much for honesty.
I think it matters whether the respondents are talking to a human pollster. In big cities, there is a stigma to being a Trump supporter, so there may be a small tendency to deny intending to vote for Trump even when that is exactly what the respondent intends to do. With an automated poll, it’s more anonymous.
You hit the nail on the head there. I had let that slip my mind because it didn't surprise me to hear those words from her. I just find it amusing that she said it, knowing that's what she thinks before she said it.
But God bless em, there are people in this country who are shocked that she spoke those words and didn't back down with a complete apology. Those folks can sure make the difference in this election.
I agree, I think we're headed for a 1980 style landslide.
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