Posted on 09/14/2016 10:33:11 AM PDT by Steely Tom
The odds of Hillary Clinton reaching the White House lengthened overnight, after an apparent fainting spell while watching Sept. 11 ceremonies forced her party’s hand in revealing that the former secretary of state is suffering from pneumonia. Irish bookmaker Paddy Power dropped its odds on Donald Trump from 6/4 to 2/1, giving the billionaire mogul a 33 percent chance of becoming next president of the United States.
Clinton’s recent coughing attacks and previous stumbles have created a vast number of rumors on potential underlying causes, which has also improved the chances of two rank outsiders. Former rival and Democrat runner-up Bernie Sanders (18/1) and Vice President Joe Biden (25/1), neither of whom are even in the running, are now getting some long shot odds by bookmakers.
Clinton was diagnosed with pneumonia on Friday and prescribed antibiotics, a fact that she was forced to make public after apparently taking ill at a 9/11 memorial service on Sunday in lower Manhattan. A spokesman for Paddy Power confirmed to political website the Washington Free Beacon that Clinton’s illness was indeed the reason for the shift in odds.
(Excerpt) Read more at casino.org ...
I think they are still going to lose a lot of money.
The “landing” - that day of infamy occurred when Donald J. Trump walked out of the RNC convention victorious. The beach had been taken and we gathered our forces and moved inland and spread. Sure, there were setbacks, the odd Remagen Market Garden and even a Bastogne.
But the Rhine has been crossed and the enemy is in full retreat carrying all their tripe back with them on the backs of donkeys. And at Chappaqua Berlin Bunker, Der Frau hunkers down in a mania even her cabal staffers cringe from.
The end is near - very near, and that evil Clinton Reich will forever end. We will roll over them like the tsumami of US and Russian forces that Obliterated their capitol and pitched them in a ditch never to be seen again.
I think the math is wrong. 6/4 would be a 60% chance for hil. a 2/1 would be a 50% split. So only a 10% lesser chance for hil, or a 16.7% less chance. Trump up 10% is only a 20% improvement, not a 33% improvement. Even if you add them, 16.7 + 20 does not equal 33. But I don’t think adding them is acceptable.
someone get these people the number of a good mathemetician.
odds of 2/1 means 50-50 chance
Get your bets in...these guys are WAY behind the curve.
They saw the video ... you have to be a died-in-the-wool kool-aid drinker not to see that video and be very disturbed.
And the headline makes it appear that Trump’s chances are even worse! (lower now than before, by careful phrasing)
I'm reading the article and I don't understand -- why does Paddy think Trump's odds went down??
The article is confused, and states the situation incorrectly in the first sentence (assuming their quoting of the Paddy Power odds is correct): the probability of Hillary winning went up from 60% to 67%. Another error: Ireland is not part of the UK.
I see now. Paddy thinks Hillary will be replaced by Biden or Bernie, which they believe makes Trump’s odds worse.
Quit fitting that a video kills her campaign.
There’s a lot of “irony” in what is happening to her these days ...........
Yes, this article is a mess, like most media.
You want a good mathematician? You're talking to one. Further, I was a practicing bookmaker for 20-some years.
When Ladbroke's or someone else quotes 2/1, this means exactly that a wager of one pound will return two pounds PLUS the original wager, if the wager is successful. Effectively, expressed as a 'chance', a 2/1 wager means a 67-33 chance against, not a 50-50 chance.
One month ago, the wager line was 300 or payout 3 to 1 betting for Trump. I gave out advice here bet Trump is a sure thing. The bookies don’t do enough research and they listen too much to CNN.
...after an apparent fainting spell while watching Sept. 11 ceremonies forced her party’s hand in revealing that the former secretary of state is suffering from pneumonia. Irish bookmaker Paddy Power dropped its odds on Donald Trump from 6/4 to 2/1, giving the billionaire mogul a 33 percent chance of becoming next president...
What, they were willing to add $2 to $4 on the table before but now after the convulsions in public they're willing to put $4 on that same $4 wager for a Trump win? It's true odds makers are entitled to have their own nomenclature but something here seems poorly written.
They’ll lose their shirts because Trump will win.
They lost badly on Jeb and Brexit. If they want to be humiliated again, their call.
I could have cranked out that article in half or less the time it took him AND completely avoided his mistakes and the mistaken impressions he generated. Great bloody hell!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.