How reliable?
The polling organizations can only lie for so long before they have to report the truth or lose their reputation.
Breakdown of significant demographic margins between Aug. 19 and today’s results Aug 21.
Demographic———Aug 19-———Aug 21-——Change
White voters———17.1————20.1-———TR+3.0
Hispanic voters-—31.3————15.5-———HC-15.8
Males-——————10.0————14.8-———TR+4.8
18-34——————HC+4.2———TR+0.8———TR+5.0
Some college———3.2-————+8.0-———TR+4.8
$35K—$75K-———12.8-————16.8-———TR+4.0
Remarkable turnaround by Trump especially with Hispanic voters.
Yes! I believe Trump is the mist of a “YUGE!” surge.
After Zero refuses to give up his in the laps of luxury vacation to deal with the Milwaukee riots and the Louisiana floods, Hillary’s disappearance and Trump showing his willingness and ability to take the lead, I think many Americans are becoming aware of Mr Trumps leadership abilities.
Woo HOO !
Comparison of Trump and Clinton demographic margins from 1 week ago vs. today:
Demographic———Aug 14————Aug 21-——Net change
18-34——————HC+13.8-———DT+0.8-——DT+14.6
35-64——————HC+1.8————DT+1.0-——DT+2.8
65+———————DT+1.0————DT+5.3-——DT+4.3
High school———DT+2.6————DT+13.9——DT+11.3
Some college-——DT+4.5————DT+8.0-——DT+3.5
College degree-—HC+19.6-———HT+15.0——DT+4.6
White——————DT+15.9-———DT+20.1——DT+4.2
A/A———————HC+82.3-———HC+70.1——DT+12.2
Hispanic-————HC+39.1-———HC+15.5——DT+23.6
Female-—————HC+12.9-———HC+10.4——DT+2.5
Male-——————DT+4.2————DT+14.8——DT+10.6
<$35K——————HC+18.7-———HC+14.8——DT+3.9
$35K-$75K————DT+10.0-———DT+16.8——DT+6.8
>$75K——————HC+7.9————DT+0.6-——DT+8.5
Trump’s comeback is truly a miracle: gaining 6.7 points in one week of polling is astronomical.
I SAW!!!!! BUT I DONT KNOW HOW TO POST THREADS!!!! :)
ONLY 2 DAYS OF THE GREAT SPEECH AND MO VISIT TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT, I WOULD ASSUME!!
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This whole thing is a setup. The polls will be inflating Trump slowly until he has a comfortable lead. Then they will bounce it up and down until sometime in October. At that time Hillary’s team will release some made up or exaggerated dirt on Trump.
Then they will show huge drops in Trump’s numbers overnight. Headlines: “Trump crashes. Hillary takes sudden lead of 10%. The Donald’s approval drops, Hillary’s finally above 50%. Trump team in a panic. Internal fighting and blaming. It may be all over for Trump. All demographics dumping Trump. It looks like it’s going to be President Hillary!”
The honest polls will be mocked as fake data to try to make it look as if Trump still has a chance.
I love the trend. What a great way to start my morning before Mass! Thanks for posting!
it would be a miracle if this race is even close, because Trump is up against the press and both political parties.
Trump gained 7 points in 7 days. He was down 5 in this poll 8/13.
All these polls are dumb. People don’t just change there minds like this. How does Trump gain 20 points among Hispanics in just days? Bunch of noise and nonsense.
The race was probably decided months ago and my gut feeling is that Trump is well ahead and has been well ahead.
These pollsters are just playing with our heads.
Somebody better tell Hillary:
With a comfortable lead, Clinton begins laying plans for her White House agenda
(First up is amnesty by the way...followed by going after gun manufacturers.)
The defining moment of the campaign was supposed to be the day when Trump picked a fight with the Muslim father of war hero.
Seems we have a new defining moment : Trump visiting Louisiana while Obama and Hillary are having fun. Together with some excellent speeches he gave last week. Especially suggesting that Hilary thinks she can just take blacks for granted so she does not have to lift her fat ass to get their votes.
The media can suppress these speeches now but they won’t be able to do it in the debates.
Just before Cankles staged her convention “miracle” I thought Trump would hit 3.5 lead in this, and still do.
He’s close. 3.5=59m votes which is where I think Trump ends up; Cankles at 55m; Johnson and Stein absorb 13%.
If the race gets so close that Hill has to debate the Donald, she’s done for. She’s not physically or mentally up to it.
Based on precedent, shouldn’t the media be reporting on this as “Hillary’s done, there’s no way she can come back, the DNC should dump her now!”
....crickets
Looking at the graph at the link, something stood out to me...don’t know if it means anything. HRC, even with her largest lead, never was able to match Trump’s high point and he never sunk to her lowest.