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Donald Trump gets small post-RNC bounce in battleground states
YouGov/CBS ^ | 07/24/2016 | YouGov us

Posted on 07/24/2016 10:22:04 AM PDT by MaxistheBest

The YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker polled likely voters across eleven competitive states before and after the Republican National Convention

Donald Trump has made small gains among undecided voters in eleven competitive states, according to two waves of the YouGov/CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker, carried out before and after the Republican National Convention.

The Republican nominee’s share of support has risen to 42% in the latest survey, putting him one point ahead of his Democratic challenger Hillary Clinton. Trump’s support is up from 40% in the previous round of interviews while Hillary Clinton’s support held firm at 41%. Gary Johnson’s support is 6%, a one point increase from before, and Jill Stein’s was unchanged at 2%. The share of remaining undecided or third-party voters fell from 11% to 9%.

The study includes likely voters from eleven states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Voters who participated in the most recent wave were first interviewed July 13-15 and were recontacted July 22-23 at the conclusion of the Republican National Convention.

Overall, thirty-six percent of likely voters in these states report feeling more positively about Donald Trump following the convention, while 32% report feeling more negatively. 22% say their views are unchanged.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; election; trump; trumpbump
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To: MaxistheBest

Best I can tell is by stripping out CO, MI, and NV, based on previous state polls in these states, Trump would gain 1% for every 2% deviation off the poll’s up 2% result. So Trump could very well be averaging a 5 point lead in FL, IA, NC, NH, OH, PA, VA, WI.


41 posted on 07/24/2016 12:02:57 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: MaxistheBest
Let's look at your 7 states and how counties in those states predict the winners. Look FLA has enough New Yorkers in it to like DJT and push the state to him. The DNC lets screw Bernie, Jewish voters, won't help either.
NC is down the toilet because of the people jamming stuff down others throats. Gone.
PA, “We will close coal mines and put miners out of work. State is hurting and they will vote for jobs not for shutting down mines. Also big gun state
OH, Kasich is the key there. Not. Jobs lost to overseas manufacturers loses the state for bad trade policies which Hillary supported.
WI, I just don't know except if gun owners come out to vote
CO, Hillary is coming to take your guns.
VA to the west about coal and jobs. Tough one to break.
NM isn't worth the time.
MI is gone, too many illegal muslims see Flint, Detroit, Gran Rapids.

Mainly people are pissed off. The anger at the elite class you know the 99%, will burn Washington down this year.

42 posted on 07/24/2016 12:10:15 PM PDT by Kozy (new age haruspex)
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To: dowcaet

Still too early to say. Right now, maybe 80% of Republicans said they’ll vote for Trump.


43 posted on 07/24/2016 12:13:02 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: af_vet_1981

But the data is flawed and manipulated in the first place

Trump negatives are only high because Hillary’s are high

That way they can point and say look they both are bad

It is how they cover themselves without actually cooking Hillary’s numbers

This way the can manipulate Trumps numbers as well.

It is all a game, remember figures don’t lie but liars can figure

The MSM, DNC and team Hillary are nothing but liars.....


44 posted on 07/24/2016 12:13:15 PM PDT by arl295
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To: MaxistheBest
The poll results are a fraud.
Go read the questions and the answer brackets.
The pollsters were in the bucket for the Democrats.
45 posted on 07/24/2016 12:17:32 PM PDT by Montana_Sam (Truth lives.)
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To: arl295

I know Democrats who turned against Obama, despise Clinton, and are set against Trump. The best we can hope is that they sit out 2016. I think they will vote Clinton though. I hope Trump will win every Romney state and then carry FL, OH, PA, IA, and NH; would like to get VA but, well VA may be harder than PA. I expect, at best, a close election and intend to pray without ceasing for God’s mercy to enable Trump to be our next President, and to be a faithful leader.


46 posted on 07/24/2016 12:39:55 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's bwhen it all began.)
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To: DoughtyOne

TED CRUZ supporters I know (except 2 diehard GLENN BECK groupies) were repulsed by his self-serving non-endorsement. They are now in the TRUMP camp.


47 posted on 07/24/2016 12:49:46 PM PDT by stars & stripes forever (WILL)
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To: MaxistheBest

This is great news considering Romney only won one single state (NC) of the eleven.


48 posted on 07/24/2016 1:04:15 PM PDT by FenwickBabbitt
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To: stars & stripes forever

Or should be. I agree with your take on it. I think most folks woke up to Ted, who and what he really was.

Sad really. Self-destructo...


49 posted on 07/24/2016 1:07:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (He wins & we do, our nation does, the world does. It's morning in America again. You are living it!)
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To: rdcbn
Hillary, of course, will get a solid bounce<

She is bouncing already with the demise of D W-S and Hillary's efforts to clean up the Democratic Party.

50 posted on 07/24/2016 1:14:28 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: MaxistheBest

CO depends on whether Glenn can bring together all anti-Hillary voters. He is a Cruzer 100% for Trump...and of course, for himself.

Trumpsters who attack Cruzers make the work of the Glenns of the country very difficult.


51 posted on 07/24/2016 1:15:20 PM PDT by spintreebob
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To: MaxistheBest
CBS

Russia Today has more credibility.

52 posted on 07/24/2016 1:17:02 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: af_vet_1981

The data is flawed, the democrats are on the verge of collapse and the media is doing everything they can to prop up that clown show. The protesters are going to Bern down Philly while the RNC convention was peaceful, well maybe except for some Cruz booing, but nothing what we are going to see go down in Philly next week.

Destruction and Chaos seems to be the Clintons MO


53 posted on 07/24/2016 1:19:21 PM PDT by arl295
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To: AmusedBystander

If the press is the enemy, then it no longer should be free to operate unmolested.


54 posted on 07/24/2016 1:23:58 PM PDT by Rome2000 (SMASH THE CPUSA-SIC SEMPER TYRANNIS-CLOSE ALL MOSQUES)
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55 posted on 07/24/2016 1:26:41 PM PDT by tomkat
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To: MaxistheBest

The liberal media WILL NOT report anything favorable of Trump.

I doubt any numbers being reported right now.


56 posted on 07/24/2016 1:30:01 PM PDT by CodeToad (Islam should be banned and treated as a criminal enterprise!)
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To: CodeToad

Trumpsters need to wake up. Agreed Trump and Clinton both have high name recognition and high negatives.

Trump and Clinton can do almost nothing to change the opinions of the undecided in a favorable direction. They can only increase their negatives.

But a large number of people, especially the undecided, are mosty influenced by friends and family, not by the media or candidates.

When Trumpsters go around insulting those not already on the Trump wagon, as happens both on FR and on other pro-Trump sites, they drive people away from Trump and hurt Trumps chances.

More importantly, if these Trumpsters insult their friends and neighbors and in-laws and cousins they will lose that vote for Trump.

At this point, Clinton supporters and Trump supporters are the ones who can convince the undecided to decide. Many of the undecided, those who follow politics closely, and including many Cruzers have consciously chosen to not decide until the last week. So the burden is on the supporters of candidates to be convincing salespersons who know how to win-friends-and-influence-people and how-to-close-the-deal.

But remember, the candidates can increase their negatives.


57 posted on 07/24/2016 1:43:42 PM PDT by spintreebob
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To: jennychase

Source?


58 posted on 07/24/2016 1:48:53 PM PDT by AFreeBird (BEST. ELECTION. EVER!)
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To: spintreebob

“Trumpsters need to wake up.”

They are awake. How the hell do you think Trump has won so big??

Get real.


59 posted on 07/24/2016 1:51:34 PM PDT by CodeToad (Islam should be banned and treated as a criminal enterprise!)
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To: spintreebob

Cut out the infantile “Trumpsters” label.


60 posted on 07/24/2016 1:53:07 PM PDT by exit82 (Road Runner sez:" Let's Make America Beeping Great Again! Beep! Beep!")
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