White House Watch (Trump 43%, Clinton 39%)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | June 30, 2016

[monkapotamus]

The tables have turned in this week’s White House Watch. After trailing Hillary Clinton by five points for the prior two weeks, Donald Trump has now taken a four-point lead.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 43% of the vote, while Clinton earns 39%. Twelve percent (12%) still like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided....

[AngelesCrestHighway]

[Sam Gamgee]

Makes sense that over 40 are higher for Trump. The Democrats have abandoned the Middle Class by supporting China, bad trade deals, Wall Street shysters, and illegals.

[Sam Gamgee]

I can’t imagine a Democrat winning when independents are being dominated by Trump. If she did, then the number of Democrat purists are much larger than we realize.

[mikhailovich]

I think the media, up to now, gave Trump quite a bit of neutral press and quite a bit of airtime. That’s coming to a screeching halt. I can already detect that they have turned on Trump and have started to ridicule him with every breath they take. Nothing but negative coverage. He will have to overcome a colossal media assault from here to the finish line.

[Grampa Dave]

Hillary Spent $26 Million on Battleground Ads in June – Trump Spent $0 => Leads Hillary by 4 Points

Gateway Pundit ^ | 06/30/16 | Jim Hoft
Posted on 6/30/2016, 3:34:47 PM by Enlightened1

Embattled Democrat Hillary Clinton spent $26 million on ads in battleground states in June.

Donald Trump spent $0 on ads in battleground states in June.

clinton spent 26 million

Donald Trump leads Hillary by 4 points in the latest Rasmussen poll released today.

Via Rasmussen:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 43% of the vote, while Clinton earns 39%. Twelve percent (12%) still like another candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

As Bill H. pointed out: Rasmussen is the only poll of “likely voters.” All others are “registered” voters. Historically Democrats dominate in ‘registered voters’ polls.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3445259/pos

[RetiredArmyMajor]

Try harder. People have too much emotion wrapped in polls and far too many, if they see their candidate in the lead, will happily see that “everything is under control”, and wont see the immediate need to donate, participate, volunteer, and just stay active. Just kick back, watch the magic happen and the votes roll in.....in an election that is still months away.

Since you didn't address the substance of my post, I guess you didn't actually read it.

My point is that political science research shows that when your candidate gets strongly positive polls it INCREASES your side's turnout. It does NOT make your side's voters complacent.

But there are exceptions. You may be one and are projecting your mindset onto the majority, which would be faulty inductive reasoning. But I appreciate that you want to win.

Also keep in mind that people who post on highly political sites like FreeRepublic are extraordinarily high propensity voters, who vote no matter what the polls are -- whether great, good, meh, bad, or horrible.

If you want to affect actual turnout, telling other Freepers to vote is preaching to the choir. There's a world of low-propensity voters out in the real world waiting for your obvious enthusiasm.

[VanDeKoik]

I read it fine.

But as you said:

“Also keep in mind that people who post on highly political sites like FreeRepublic are extraordinarily high propensity voters, who vote no matter what the polls are...”

Shows that my post was directed at people on FR as the general population isnt reading this site. And it wasn’t directed at voting, but at the activism of political junkies and activists as we are to not see a “good” poll as a reason to think that you can now relax.

[trebb]

I think the media, up to now, gave Trump quite a bit of neutral press and quite a bit of airtime. That’s coming to a screeching halt. I can already detect that they have turned on Trump and have started to ridicule him with every breath they take. Nothing but negative coverage. He will have to overcome a colossal media assault from here to the finish line.

Agreed - He seems to have made a slight change to how he presents and I would hope he gets it refined pretty quickly - the AG fiasco might be helpful as she promised to take the FBI's recommendations....time will tell.