Not helped by Trump on the top of ticket either as this poll shows, he and Trump trail by identical margins. I hope he pulls it out, Feingold is contemptible, you hate to see turds like that get stuck in the toilet and end up causing all that brown water to get all over the floor.
Anyway, these favorable polls from FL and PA are from "early June"? It's late June now. If they were taken before the remarks on the Judge and Clinton's victory bump they're fairly worthless.
The VA poll is more recent and it's good to see him within 3 points there, VA has been worrisome, if we don't get VA then we need PA (or IA, CO and one of NH/NV/WI, and if you're not winning VA or PA getting that combination is unlikely). FL + OH + PA wins or FL + OH + VA + one more state worth at least 4 EVs.
The article doesn't mention any OH polls but the only recent one on real clear politics is a Quinnipiac that has it tied. They also (same date 6/3 - 6/19) have Clinton up just 1 in PA, but up 8 in FL which is not good. They have not been the best outfit, what's the saying, they get less accurate the further you get from CT? So I hope they are right about PA being close and wrong about FL.
You go with the polls ya got. The previous OH poll-—different pollster-—was Trump +4 in OH.
Johnson screwed himself, not only with his votes, but regardless of where Trump is in WI, it’s almost impossible for a senator to “triangulate.” He should have supported Trump. It wouldn’t hurt him and could help.
BTW, I hope you saw my 50-year polling analysis that shows that June polls are overwhelmingly off, and off for the GOP by an avg. of 9 points (worse) than when off for Dems.
I conclude this is because not only are they using “registered” voters, but they sprinkle them with 10% “adults”. This skews these early polls by 4-5 points on average.