You go with the polls ya got. The previous OH poll-—different pollster-—was Trump +4 in OH.
Johnson screwed himself, not only with his votes, but regardless of where Trump is in WI, it’s almost impossible for a senator to “triangulate.” He should have supported Trump. It wouldn’t hurt him and could help.
BTW, I hope you saw my 50-year polling analysis that shows that June polls are overwhelmingly off, and off for the GOP by an avg. of 9 points (worse) than when off for Dems.
I conclude this is because not only are they using “registered” voters, but they sprinkle them with 10% “adults”. This skews these early polls by 4-5 points on average.
I have now. It heartens me.
Relying on “registered voters” is dumb. Using “adults” in any proportion is just plain moronic!