Posted on 06/08/2016 4:19:10 PM PDT by mandaladon
Seven swing states? Seven battleground counties as bellwethers for the presidential election? Why does this sound so … familiar? Axiom Strategies and Remington Research have teamed up to provide a look at polling in key counties as an indicator for November, and two of the seven — and five of the seven states — match up with my book Going Red.
At the moment, the Axiom Battleground Counties (ABC) survey shows some good news for Donald Trump:
The first two counties in the ABC series match up exactly with Going Red. ABC also picks up Ohio, North Carolina, and Virginia as key states, although they choose different counties as bellwethers. In their launch, ABC explains that they are looking for counties that matched most closely with the end result in the last four presidential elections, while my selection focused on counties where Bush won and Republicans lost to Barack Obama, as well as offering a look at demographic profiles that matched up with the state as a whole.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Does any one have results from IN’s Vigo County?
Its a national bellwether - has gone with the winner in every election since 1892.
CNN shows Vigo county IN
Trump 63.6%, Sanders 55.2%
http://www.msnbc.com/portrait-bellwether-indiana-county-has-history-picking-presidents#slide1
Last poll shows Trump winning there!
“glimmer of hope”
Quit talking like a Jeb Bush.
Trump is going FTW. Glimmers are for cucks.
I would call it more than a glimmer of hope. Looks to me like Trump is doing quite well. GO TRUIMP GO
Bellweathers are not going to work this year as predictors. Trump changes the demographics a lot.
As I said in another thread, Scranton is the birthplace of Joe Biden and Hugh Rodham. If she is in trouble here PA is in play.
Ok, this is really getting interesting, because Drudge has a headline that Dem primary vote was down 7 m from 08. We know Trump set records, but we don’t know how much the GOP #s were up from 08.
The US population grew by 5% since 08, so the Dem numbers should not only be 7m more, but 7m plus 5%, or 7,350,000.
BTW, the 350,000? That would have been enough for Minion to win the Electoral College.
Vigo is a good sign.
IN has gone Democratic only once in the recent cycle, for Barack Obama in 2008.
Trump should win IN very easily.
The problem is the mega states are predominantly Blue.
TX is only the notable exception. It will go Trump in November.
Governors of both Ohio and Florida are Republican - that should help give an edge to Trump in those states - Pennsylvania, the other of the Big Three battleground states on some people’s lists, not so much.....
I drove thru PA last weekend; Gettysburg to Lancaster. I’ll bet there hasn’t been that many confederate flags flying along Route 30 since Lee invaded. That place is in total rebellion.
Heh heh. He’s polling better than Reagan did against Carter at this point. And Carter wasn’t a serial liar with 35 years of disastrous acts for the public to view.
“Trump, and our country, need the grace of our LORD Jesus Christ to turn this generation around.”
AMEN!!!!!
I think so too.
GO TRUIMP GO - GO TRUIMP GO - GO TRUIMP GO
The results from Loudoun show Hillary isn’t getting over 50%.
Even in her strongest bellwethers.
Maybe if she and Bernie kiss and make up, we’ll see if she can make up the deficit.
Its too early to draw any hard and fast conclusions right now.
Hot air is hot air and is GOPe it seems.
Glimmer of hope?
Are we to believe per MSM that there is no way Trump can win?
Is that it?
I was just researching the numbers this morning. In 2008, the Democrats cast ~37,000,000 votes in the primary compared to the GOP with ~20,000,000. According to greenpaper dot com, in 2016 the GOP received over 30,000,000 votes in the primary while the Democrats got about 28,000,000. So this year we’re up ~10,000,000 and the progressives are down about 9,000,000 from 8 years ago, and we beat them by over 2,000,000 votes!
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