Posted on 06/06/2016 3:04:31 PM PDT by plain talk
As we reach the middle of the 21st century, half the population of the world will lose their job to a machine. The latest comes from Moshe Vardi, professor at Rice University , Houston, who delivered a talk to the American Association for the Advancement of Science , exploring the question: "If machines are capable of doing almost any work humans can do, what will humans do?"
Vardi reckons that half of workers across the globe will be replaced by machines within the next 30 years, wiping out middle-class jobs and "exacerbating inequality". He noted that robots would take over in many spheres of life, including automated driving and sex robots. As the Guardian reports, he also observed that this future is likely to mean humans have much more leisure time — indeed we may only work a handful of hours per week.
(Excerpt) Read more at economictimes.indiatimes.com ...
___________________
They were naive back then.
Sexbots are just around the corner.
There will be a big rise in robot repair engineers and techs.
To repair the robots.
Vote Robot Reagan 2080.
Well, by 2045 my job will be “being retired”. A robot may be able to do nothing better than me. But it won’t be able to do nothing with more style than me ;-)
Much of the work in robotics is done with open source design. All the robots are belong to us. Besides, global, overly centralized production will end soon. How? That will be a surprise. Give it six years if that long.
Don’t care...I’l be dead.
Robert Heinlein, Arthur C. Clarke and Isaac Asimov were predicting this further back than that (Twilight Zone had plots based on the writings of many sci-fi authors). I recall reading some stories from these authors of a time when people would only work a few hours a week, and the rest of their time would be taken up by hobbies. One of which was assisting their robots who did all the creating. One of the reasons the future of mankind is painted so brightly is the thought that robots will create and maintain infrastructure for humans. Who needs a replicator (as in Star Trek) when robots create everything? I see it as a good thing that robots will do the heavy lifting for us. That will leave us time to be philosophers and poets (well, some of us, the rest will be protesting and destroying stuff).
This will not end well.
Robots are just more advanced and concentrated forms of capital
The old rules will still apply - or may even be magnified. Which places treat the owners of capital the best i.e.) low taxes, clear/reasonable regulations, minimal government interference and corruption?
as the saying goes “Idle hands do the devil’s work.” Look at the inner city!
Or just fat people in chairs (see Wal-E)
In the 70’s they were saying the same thing. Still hasn’t happened. Just like the flying cars we were all going to be flitting around in by 1990. LOL!
And the first thing we need to think of is that we don't more people in this country, we need less. With some realignment of useful duties.
That is what Skynet asked.
“global, overly centralized production will end soon. How? That will be a surprise. Give it six years if that long.”
Oh come on and be a sport. Just among us, do tell. What is going to bring down the centralized production model within six years? 3D printing?
I think it likely that manufacturing will decentralize due to robotics, but expect it to take longer.
China would probably be hardest hit by a six year conversion.
The big high tech industry will be programming and repairing the robots.
Bring in the Scoops!
Soylent Green - how did a 1973 B film so presciently depict metro life in 2022?
http://m.imdb.com/title/tt0070723/mediaviewer/rm3872838144
RE: “the rest will be protesting and destroying stuff”
With floods of H1Bs probably and sadly.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.