On Cutting-Edge Voter Data, Trump Critically Behind Clinton

Donald Trump trails Hillary Clinton by months, even years, in using fast-evolving digital campaigning to win over voters, data specialists working with the GOP say.

The presumptive Republican presidential nominee has dismissed the science that defines 21st century political campaigns, a tool that President Barack Obama used effectively in winning two terms and the Clinton campaign has worked on for nearly a year.

And while it is too early to tell whether the late start signals trouble for Trump, it illustrates the difference between Trump’s proudly outsider campaign and the institutional knowledge within Clinton’s.

I didn't write it was impossible for Trump to win. I wrote that both Bush and Romney received 59% of the white vote and HW won easily and Romney lost. This talk of a Trump landslide is premature. I do think Trump will win for a number of reasons I won't bore you with, but it won't be easy. Trump will begin election day down by about 25 points, so he will need to bring his voters to the polls on election day.

From what I have read, the political strategists are expecting 27% to 30% of the vote will come from blacks and Hispanics. Trump will lose 95% of the black vote and 67% to 70% of the Hispanic vote (that is better than Romney)....that is why he will start 25 points down on the dawn of election day.

That is why it is a little unsettling to read that Trump will not have the money to get out the vote. Trump has publicly said that he will need to rely on the GOP to fund that for him. I wish he did not have to rely on the establishment to get the vote out for him. GOTV helps on the margins, but he may need it. Regardless, Trump will win.

Your boast about the armed American citizen will not live under the tyranny, etc. We are not the same country we were 50 years ago. Most are sheep and most don't care. We are tracked, traced and recorded everyday and hardly anyone complains. No one in Congress is doing anything about it. No one is doing anything about the tyranny going on in college campi...no one.

I didn't see any citizens joining the protest in the Oregon desert and cost one of the leaders his life. So, everyone is adjusting to Obamacare bit by bit and for the first time, a poll shows a majority in favor of it.

I find it interesting you mention the pro abortion Communists from Mexico... Well, the Republican nominee for President has been pro abortion his entire life until fairly recently and supported gay marriage. Trump also said that social issues aren't important. OK, I see his point. When trying to save the country, there are priorities and abortion is not one of them. Besides, there is nothing Trump can do about abortion anyway.

I also think Trump will sign a bill increasing legal immigration, a bill the dems have wanted to pass for a long, long time. Trump has said, they will have to go, but they can come back in. So we will see.

I would much rather have Trump than the alternative. Trump won't be conventionally conservative, but as president, I think he will keep the dems guessing and off kilter, a bit. Trump will be able to easily go over the media to reach the masses. At least someone will defend themselves.

Please don't misunderstand. Obviously, you are sober, but there are others who do confuse their excitement with Trump's ability to change things. He can, but it will be difficult, particularly if the dems retake the senate.

In other words, it will take a mighty effort, a disciplined effort to enact laws and attempt to bend the will of over 2,000,000 unionized government workers to Trump's way of doing business.

Trump will need a situation near the beginning of his term to throw down the gauntlet. Reagan had the PATCO strike to establish himself as a no nonsense strong leader. Trump will need something similar and I think he will get it, but it is impossible to predict what it will be.

If Trump can expose just how corrupt and ineffective government can be and what he is going to do to fix agency A, then fix Dept. B and we need this law to fix this specific problem, I think Trump will have the support of most voters.

There are many forces active in our nation today, for middle class Americans who still hold traditional values there has been few voices against the cultural changes taking place.

The other side has managed to frame the argument so that any opposition is “hate” and our children have been indoctrinated to hate “hate”.

The other side does not need to explain their views, they only need to shut down opposition using the government, schools and media.

Trump is the only one that has been able to stand up to them.

My hope for Trump is not to put everything right, but to show by example that people can resist the demonetization by the left.

My worry is that even this minor goal may not be achieved and the nation we were is lost forever.

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