Posted on 04/22/2016 11:39:07 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
He's going to clean up again this coming Tuesday in CT, PA, DE, RI and MD and probably come away with 80% or more of available delegates. He should now win IN the following week.
Week after that (May 10), WV and NE should be a wash with Trump taking WV and Cruz taking NE. They have about the same number of delegates.
Then we have OR and WA which are proportional and so Trump will definitely take delegates out of there if not win outright.
At this point, Trump will be at 1100 and that's being conservative. This does NOT include the 54 unbound delegates from PA, of which we know Trump should get at least 40.
This brings us to the June 7 finale with CA, NJ, SD, NM and MT at stake. We know Trump will get the 51 in NJ which means worse case scenario, he'd only need to pull 86 of the 172 CA delegates to get over the top. That's regardless of how SD, NM and MT turn out. That's also regardless of how many of those 54 unbound PA delegates end up voting.
Simply put, Trump has a pretty easy path to 1237 at this point. The 1300 his campaign is aiming for seems very doable.
I agree, I think Trump’s got 1237 and has had it easy for a long time... I was just offering devils advocate, that even if he should by some miracle wind up short, the party is not going to give the nomination to Cruz.
In California I heard that the registrar offices in the Bay area are swamped by people switching to the Republican party so they can vote for Trump.
The notion that Cruz manages to get nearly 500 delegates on a 2nd ballot while Trump stays stuck at 1100 is a pipe dream. With 1100, Trump can much more easily make the necessary deals for the 137 he'll need.
But I was saying that weeks ago when it looked like Cruz was going to win more states. In light of the current situation, Trump will easily get to 1237 making the 2nd ballot unnecessary.
Please do not compare the Witch to a female dog. I have two winderful dogs and I thank God for the wonderful mothers who bore them and nurtured them. It’s nasty and degrading to smear such wonderful creatures as being like the totally evil, corrupt Witch.
You’re so right.
Yes. This is getting silly now for the St. Ted of Calgary.
He can no longer hope to get it to a second ballot. All he can do now is hope that something totally undemocratic occurs (i.e., banana-republic-ish).
Cruz will be re-elected in Texas.
***************
You are assuming Cruz will run for re-election. That isn’t Cruz’s work tenure history.
He hunts for other challenges after a time and I’d bet Senator isn’t a challenge to him.
Senator, United States Senate, 2012-present
Partner, Morgan, Lewis & Bockius Limited Liability Partnership, 2008-2012
Adjunct Professor of Law, United States Court Litigation, University of Texas School of Law, 2004-2009
Solicitor General of Texas, Office of the Attorney General, 2003-2008
Director, Office of Policy Planning, Federal Trade Commission, 2001-2003
Coordinator, Department of Justice, Bush-Cheney Transition Team, 2000-2001
Associate Deputy Attorney General, United States Department of Justice, 2001
Associate, Cooper/Carvin & Rosenthal, 1997-1999
Law Clerk, Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist, Supreme Court of the United States, 1996-1997
Law Clerk, Judge J. Michael Luttig, United States Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit, 1995-1996
Cruz is nothing more than a hyper ambitious spoiler with a really grating personality.
Momentum is growing, after next week it will be a tidal wave.
He is going to do just that.
If he has to run in a primary, he might get some stiff competition.
:-)
Well said.
However, I think you missed an important point.
Some Cruz supporters have self identified with Cruz. Any opposition to Cruz is taken as a personal attack on THEM, plus proof of the depraved nature of the person opposed.
Second poll show Trump now + 8 in Indiana with Affirmative Action Teddie fading. On Tuesday alone Trump will win more states than Cruz has won and stolen so far.
And for what it is worth so that’s Teddie’s daddy in those pictures with Lee Harvey Oswald. Check it out.
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