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I agree, I think Trump’s got 1237 and has had it easy for a long time... I was just offering devils advocate, that even if he should by some miracle wind up short, the party is not going to give the nomination to Cruz.

Yes, I've been saying all along that even if Trump was to only have 1100, that would mean that Cruz would at best be around 800. That's because Kasich, Rubio and the others control about 400 (and then we have the unbound delegates such as the 54 in PA).

The notion that Cruz manages to get nearly 500 delegates on a 2nd ballot while Trump stays stuck at 1100 is a pipe dream. With 1100, Trump can much more easily make the necessary deals for the 137 he'll need.

But I was saying that weeks ago when it looked like Cruz was going to win more states. In light of the current situation, Trump will easily get to 1237 making the 2nd ballot unnecessary.