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poll released April 15 shows Trump with 54 percent support of Republican primary voters
1 posted on 04/18/2016 6:06:10 PM PDT by MIA_eccl1212
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To: MIA_eccl1212
Trump needs to be 50% or more in every congressional district to get the full 95 delegates at stake.

Does anybody know where Trump is vulnerable in NY? I think he has a good shot at carrying every congressional district with >50% of the vote.

2 posted on 04/18/2016 6:10:11 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: MIA_eccl1212

If Cruz doesn’t drop out after NY he has become a bona fide enemy of everything the Tea Party stood for, because he is guaranteeing a Clinton victory if he continues.


3 posted on 04/18/2016 6:10:47 PM PDT by freedomjusticeruleoflaw (Western Civilization- whisper the words, and it will disappear. So let us talk now about rebirth.)
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To: MIA_eccl1212

I saw a poll just a couple of hours ago on CBS nightly news. It showed Kasich now LAST!


8 posted on 04/18/2016 6:20:52 PM PDT by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: MIA_eccl1212

If Cruz loses about 83 more delegates from all remaining states, he is mathematically unable to get to 1237.

Kasich cannot reach 1237. Without a major surge to win in 7 more states, Kasich will not qualify for nomination under the Rule 40 requirement that candidates get a majority of delegates in at least 8 states.


18 posted on 04/18/2016 6:42:51 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: MIA_eccl1212

It would be nice if Cruz didn’t get to the 20 percent needed to even be eligible for delegates.

Last I heard Trump has huge leads in the 5 primaries on April 26th, PA, CT, RI, DE and MD. I hope Cruz comes in last in all of them. That would set him up to lose IN, NE and WV.


19 posted on 04/18/2016 6:45:32 PM PDT by euram
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To: MIA_eccl1212

Out of respect for the Cruznoids, I am wearing black as I enter this thread.

RIP Tead.

Withing 24 hours Ted’s path to 1237 before the convention ends.

With it ends the make believe world of the man who loses.


20 posted on 04/18/2016 6:45:55 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Hey Ted, why are you taking one for the RNC/GOPe team, and not ours? Not that we don't know.)
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22 posted on 04/18/2016 6:51:11 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Hey Ted, why are you taking one for the RNC/GOPe team, and not ours? Not that we don't know.)
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To: MIA_eccl1212

All my hopes for tomorrow are on seeing Hillary Clinton’s campaign spectacularly implode. I’ve wanted to see that woman fail miserably for decades now.


30 posted on 04/18/2016 7:22:52 PM PDT by thoughtomator
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To: MIA_eccl1212

Trump under performs on polls when matched against the RCP average. Sometimes by up to 5 points. (I ran the numbers prior to WI, and haven’t checked since.) I think he’ll get over 50%

Cruz overperfomed in all but one state and by plenty (again, before WI...)
Tomorrow may be interesting but I expect the call for trump early.


44 posted on 04/18/2016 9:55:46 PM PDT by Outlaw76 (Conservative, Showman, Rino. Make your choice wisely.)
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To: MIA_eccl1212

54% is not as dominating as it should be. Trump could very easily slip below the figure, or fail to achieve that in a significant number of districts.


54 posted on 04/19/2016 5:12:18 AM PDT by montag813
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To: MIA_eccl1212

Ted Cruz wants to build a wall between the Republican base and the GOPe elite so that the low castes of the base can never enter the upper caste. That is why Cruz is a big advocate cheering on voterless delegates.

That is exactly the wall he is building right now. And the fact that the GOPe would NEVER build a wall on the Southern border means now that Cruz has the GOPe agents working for him, Cruz would never build the wall other than the wall that separates the Party Syndicate from the untouchable caste known as the base.


63 posted on 04/19/2016 11:27:25 PM PDT by ShivaFan
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