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Weak and Getting Weaker: Electability argument against Trump in the general election is hardening
Weekly Standard ^ | 04/10/2016 | Jonathan Last

Posted on 04/10/2016 8:52:03 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Of all the arguments against Donald Trump, the softest has been his poor prospects for victory in the general election. True, he has consistently polled worse against Hillary Clinton than have Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and virtually every other person who ran. But polls change. And if Trump were to win the Republican nomination, it would be such an earthquake that the political order might be transformed. Clinton, moreover, has huge vulnerabilities. She lacks many basic political skills, and she is a hostage to fortune—in both the usual way, as the heir to an incumbent president, and in the unusual one of being the subject of an FBI investigation.

Yet the electability argument against Trump is hardening, fast. He has a 67 percent unfavorable rating (per the Washington Post/ABC News poll), which would be the highest ever recorded for a major-party nominee, and a net favorable rating of minus-39 among white women and minus-31 among independents. Trump's numbers aren't just bad; they're the stuff of nightmares.

When you add up all of the data, there are four reasons to suspect Trump's chances in the general election are incredibly slim.

(1) The appeal of Trump was supposed to be that he would expand the electorate by bringing home white voters who didn't turn out for Mitt Romney in 2012. Looking at Trump's numbers among whites, it's not clear how he could do that—his favorability numbers are underwater not just among whites generally, but even among non-college-educated whites (where he's minus-7) and white men (minus-4).

But the Trump-wins-by-turning-out-white-Republicans theory breaks down fatally when you look at where Trump is with every other group. In order to claw his way into the poor position he's in with white voters, Trump has cheesed off every other demographic group: He's minus-53 with self-described moderates;

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; cuckservatives; downticket; elections; eletability; globalistcruz; incestuousted; jonathanlast; lousycandidate; lyinted; merrickgarlandlvscrz; noteligiblecruz; openboarderscruz; richgreeatwhitehope; spam; stopthesteal; tds; trump; trumpbaggage; trumpslipping; trumptrojan4hillary; weeklystandard; whitevoters; yugedisaster; yugestupidparty
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To: exDemMom

.
The “guy who has broad support” just lost another whole state: Indiana.
.


161 posted on 04/10/2016 4:53:53 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: silverleaf

.
Loyalty to a party is nonsense, but loyalty to the Nation is what will do Trump in in the end if he tries any turd party shenanigans.

Its the voters that sunk Trump in Wisconsin, not any party.

Pray for character.


162 posted on 04/10/2016 4:57:59 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: cradle of freedom

.
TPA is not a trade deal, it is the authority to control the trade deals that President Cruz will be using to our great advantage next year, and the Dems won’t be able to block it.
.


163 posted on 04/10/2016 5:02:39 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Hoodat

War is hell.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CuUzR55N_Y&ebc=ANyPxKqJnI-696S4xQogyqK0d7dGPSMtwsIl0gTVqo_RsUXjNb1xroNU3cEpnhmrUMcIDFvyCgr9GfX2Vp1fGbWoXVyS79Jojg&nohtml5=False


164 posted on 04/10/2016 5:03:45 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: cradle of freedom
I wasn’t talking to you.

You were talking to everyone. You may not be aware of this, but when you post on this thread, everyone can see it. Everyone. So when you are on a public political forum, and you publicly refer to something as pseudo-conservative, you should expect that someone would point out the obvious parallel to Donald Trump.

165 posted on 04/10/2016 5:05:17 PM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Section 4)
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To: mylife

The entire movie? Bless you!


166 posted on 04/10/2016 5:06:05 PM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Section 4)
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To: Hoodat

Love your grade school logic.


167 posted on 04/10/2016 5:06:55 PM PDT by cradle of freedom
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To: Hoodat

Ooops windows 10 sucks this was what I wanted to say

And man I believe it

Rock on

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=murphys+war+first+flifgt&view=detail&mid=1BFDF9BC3683CB68C4CD1BFDF9BC3683CB68C4CD&FORM=VIRE


168 posted on 04/10/2016 5:09:38 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: editor-surveyor

These trade deals are what has lost millions of American jobs. I live in a manufacturing state and have seen many factories close and left empty or turned into apartments. The heart of the establishment is using the government to give them unfair advantages in business including the exploitation of cheap foreign labor. Anyone who supports the oligarchy is not a conservative.


169 posted on 04/10/2016 5:13:02 PM PDT by cradle of freedom
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To: cradle of freedom

Factories have been gone for 40 years or more


170 posted on 04/10/2016 5:36:29 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: af_vet_1981

I believe people who believe in Mormonism be treated with respect and dignity. How do you feel they should be treated?


171 posted on 04/10/2016 5:52:08 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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Totally unrelated but an ode the UKs venerable Sea King.

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=hawkwind+sea+king&&view=detail&mid=41655DDAA39FE06CEEDE41655DDAA39FE06CEEDE&rvsmid=EB4C7C623FF165DD830BEB4C7C623FF165DD830B&fsscr=0&FORM=VDFSRV


172 posted on 04/10/2016 5:56:10 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: Hoodat

Enjoy


173 posted on 04/10/2016 6:09:42 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: Hoodat

Enjoy


174 posted on 04/10/2016 6:09:42 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: Dan in Wichita
I believe people who believe in Mormonism be treated with respect and dignity. How do you feel they should be treated?

Like they believe in a false religious cult that masquerades as Christianity, in other words, with pity and compassion.

175 posted on 04/10/2016 7:11:10 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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To: af_vet_1981

Do you hate all people who are not like you, or just some people who are not like you?


176 posted on 04/10/2016 7:20:28 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Dan in Wichita
Do you hate all people who are not like you, or just some people who are not like you?

I'm commanded to love my enemies.

Speaking of which, theologically and spiritually speaking, what is the difference between Mormons and Moslems ?

177 posted on 04/10/2016 7:31:36 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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To: af_vet_1981
what is the difference between Mormons and Moslems?

You act as if you already know the answer. Tell us.
178 posted on 04/10/2016 7:47:55 PM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Dan in Wichita
You act as if you already know the answer. Tell us.

The Koran is written in Arabic while the Book of Mormon and Pearl of Great Price are written in English.

179 posted on 04/11/2016 4:34:53 AM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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To: mylife

In the 1970’s I worked in a factory.


180 posted on 04/11/2016 10:10:40 AM PDT by cradle of freedom
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