Posted on 04/10/2016 8:52:03 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Of all the arguments against Donald Trump, the softest has been his poor prospects for victory in the general election. True, he has consistently polled worse against Hillary Clinton than have Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and virtually every other person who ran. But polls change. And if Trump were to win the Republican nomination, it would be such an earthquake that the political order might be transformed. Clinton, moreover, has huge vulnerabilities. She lacks many basic political skills, and she is a hostage to fortunein both the usual way, as the heir to an incumbent president, and in the unusual one of being the subject of an FBI investigation.
Yet the electability argument against Trump is hardening, fast. He has a 67 percent unfavorable rating (per the Washington Post/ABC News poll), which would be the highest ever recorded for a major-party nominee, and a net favorable rating of minus-39 among white women and minus-31 among independents. Trump's numbers aren't just bad; they're the stuff of nightmares.
When you add up all of the data, there are four reasons to suspect Trump's chances in the general election are incredibly slim.
(1) The appeal of Trump was supposed to be that he would expand the electorate by bringing home white voters who didn't turn out for Mitt Romney in 2012. Looking at Trump's numbers among whites, it's not clear how he could do thathis favorability numbers are underwater not just among whites generally, but even among non-college-educated whites (where he's minus-7) and white men (minus-4).
But the Trump-wins-by-turning-out-white-Republicans theory breaks down fatally when you look at where Trump is with every other group. In order to claw his way into the poor position he's in with white voters, Trump has cheesed off every other demographic group: He's minus-53 with self-described moderates;
(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...
After all, it’s the Weekly Standard of Journalistic BS!
They can’t beat Trump at the ballot box so they resort to endless polls and stories about his electability in an attempt to diminish his support.
All these polls are nothing but BS until we have the nominees and voters are comparing them and their positions to each other in reality, and not in these hyped up speculations and non-existent choices.
This country is just too far gone.
Sure. Trump has been meticulously crafting his campaign to peel off Democrat voters. We've already in the primaries how many blue collar dems are crossing party lines to vote for Trump. Independents as well.
Secondly Trump has not even began to campaign yet against the Dem candidate. When he begins the general campaign he's going to lay Hillary bare in the starkest terms like no other candidate we've seen. We've seen that in the primaries he's not afraid to defend himself and especially no afraid to counter attack in what is usually a very effective fashion.
But even though he's not actively campaigning against a Dem opponent he's already been hard at work defining Clinton. Look at how many times he says "If she's allowed to run" or other statements.
Lastly Trump is competitive. Very competitive. He does not like to lose. He doesn't take it well because he expects to win every single time no matter what the odds are against him. This trait has carried him throughout his life and more then anything else defines his success. This is the biggest deal of his life. You can bet he's not going to fold up his tent like EVERY other Republican candidate the last few years.
Your posting the Weakly Standardt -instant disregard....
Truth be told , Cruz is weaker than Trump and Kasich ...
The facts that democrats and independents have been voting for Trump has been used to argue that he is not a ‘ real’ republican
Yet they expect these voterr to pick Cruz in a General election when they didn’t pick him in a primary
Do these people even read what they are writing?
You’re the first honest Cruz supporter to admit he has no path to 270. I give you kudos for that.
I think Trump has an outside chance. He’s popular in the swing states, and appeals to the independents and moderates who, whether we like it or not, determine the winner of presidential elections. At the very least he makes the Dems spend time and money to defend states they would not other wise have to defend.
Currently polls have Trump losing Utah and Mississippi to Hillary, and you think he can win? His unfavorables grow every month. He has the worst unfavorable ratings of any to ever run and worse than Hillary.
And he has NOT and is not growing his base.
Weekly Standard, National Review, etc. They are all part of the Stop Trump movement. The GOPe wants their own candidate, not t6he one selected by the voters.
expecting 2/3 of trump voters to remain loyal to a party that is shafting him and us is way too optimistic ....
Hillary is likable?
Trump knocked out 13 opponents and is still in the lead even with the GOP establishment, the Democrats and both the liberal and pseudo conservative media against him. He is like a Chinese martial arts champion that you see in the movies taking on a dozen opponents and winning in the end.
The problem is that Cruz would only win Utah and Texas. He lost the entire south and northeast and possibly the west coast. His fringe is very small.
The idea that Utah would vote for Hillary over Trump is ludicrous. No need to even rebut that. It’s a talking point created out of thin air by a dishonest campaign.
They’d like to propagandize that those rallies are hitlerian. But tgose people, ironically, are not there for trump. They’re there because they want America back
They’d like to propagandize that those rallies are hitlerian. But tgose people, ironically, are not there for trump. They’re there because they want America back
Wait, isn’t the Weekly Standard one of those pseudo conservative publications?
Trump hasn’t even started yet on Hillary
Though he did smack down her predictable “ war on Wymyn” meme when
he brought up her own husbands behaviors
The path to Hillary’s deconstruction must be forged by someone who is bold. outspoken, non PC and unowned by the establishment
An HONEST common sense campaigner
Someone who has millions of people will to get behind him and vote her out
If it’s not yuge it will be stolen
The big Tea Party rallies were similarly smeared
Lots of the same middle class folks, too
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