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To: GeaugaRepublican

Yes, further verification that Trump’s ceiling is 40 to 45%. If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins. There’s no way most Kasich voters go to Cruz.


7 posted on 03/18/2016 8:18:32 AM PDT by mtrott
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To: mtrott

Kasich is a real jackass. He supposedly wants to stop Trump, yet his actions are handing Trump the nomination.

Can’t these “Stop Trump” people I keep hearing about have a word with Jackass Junior and explain to him how his bread gets buttered?


13 posted on 03/18/2016 8:27:06 AM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: mtrott

If you dig into the numbers, it shows that Lil’ Marco’s 21% from the last poll approximately split among the 3.

Trump went up 7, Cruz went up 7, Kasich went up 9.

If Kasich drops, that would be great for Trump, according to the poll because he splits moderate with Trump.

Trumps base is wide through all types of R voters.


14 posted on 03/18/2016 8:27:12 AM PDT by GeaugaRepublican ("Which State Could Cruz win in General that Romney didn't carry in 2012?" Cruz has a math problem)
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To: mtrott
Yes, further verification that Trump’s ceiling is 40 to 45%. If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins. There’s no way most Kasich voters go to Cruz.

I'm trying to understand what you're saying here ... If "there's no way most Kasich voters go to Cruz", then how does Kasich dropping out assure a Cruz win?

16 posted on 03/18/2016 8:29:42 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: mtrott

“If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins.”

First I doubt that, and even if true, Cruz couldn’t get 86% share of the delegates he would need to make 1276. Cruz wants a Brokered convention, where he can sell-out to the GOPe to hopefully get the nod, but that is a day-dream, the GOPe will crown Kasich, before they would ever give it to Cruz.


20 posted on 03/18/2016 8:35:01 AM PDT by heights
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To: mtrott
"Yes, further verification that Trump’s ceiling is 40 to 45%"

Trump’s base has hit a ceiling. He should retire. October 1, 2015

The Trump candidacy is pure base, and Mr. Trump has not built out from that base, which topped out at about 30%. It’s become obvious that this third of angry conservative voters is volatile. Mr. Trump’s famous support base has eroded, dispersing to the other outsider candidates, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina. (Hot Air)

Trump has hit his Iowa ceiling January 12th, 2016 I think that the main thing this demonstrates is that Trump is truly limited to a 28 point ceiling in Iowa. (Red State)

What ceiling? Trump hits 53 per cent in latest poll of Republican primary voters and is the most-liked Republican left in the field 15 March 2016 (Dailey Mail)

That ceiling must move a lot....

40 posted on 03/18/2016 9:38:52 AM PDT by Mad Dawgg (If you're going to deny my 1st Amendment rights then I must proceed to the 2nd one...)
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To: mtrott

Yes, further verification that Cruz’s ceiling is 25% -30%. The people back that backed Rubio but now moved to Kasich could have moved to Cruz but did not. Perhaps a lot of those people that prefer Kasich now may be anybody but Cruz folks?


43 posted on 03/18/2016 9:53:00 AM PDT by jospehm20
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To: mtrott
"Yes, further verification that Trump’s ceiling is 40 to 45%. If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins."

Anything you say Bagdad Bob! "Peak Trump" sounds kinda like "Peak Oil" and Trump is a frackin' machine!

44 posted on 03/18/2016 10:00:31 AM PDT by WMarshal (Trump 2016 (and 2020)!)
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To: mtrott

“Yes, further verification that Trump’s ceiling is 40 to 45%. If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins.”

So you’re admitting that Cruz gets the establishment vote. It’s about time people realized Cruz is establishment. He just happens to be one that’s not well-liked, but Trump is the outsider in this race and that’s why he’s hated by all.


46 posted on 03/18/2016 11:20:10 AM PDT by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: mtrott

Cruz cannot win the needed 87% of the remaining delegates...not even possible.


49 posted on 03/18/2016 11:25:39 AM PDT by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.l)
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To: mtrott

“If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins.”

If that were true, and Cruz is such a strong candidate, shouldn’t he already be leading, while Trump splits the lesser votes with Kasich?

If a candidate can’t win unless others drop out, then he’s too weak to get the job done by himself, and doesn’t deserve the nomination.


54 posted on 03/18/2016 12:10:42 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: mtrott

You forgot the /s tag.....right? Because you can’t be serious.


75 posted on 03/18/2016 6:21:51 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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