If you dig into the numbers, it shows that Lil’ Marco’s 21% from the last poll approximately split among the 3.
Trump went up 7, Cruz went up 7, Kasich went up 9.
If Kasich drops, that would be great for Trump, according to the poll because he splits moderate with Trump.
Trumps base is wide through all types of R voters.
Cruz voters cannot get it through their heads that their candidate is not going to inherit all of Rubio and Kasich’s votes. The fundamental problem with Cruz is that NOBODY likes him outside of his supporters. There once were 16 candidates in the race, now their are 3, and Cruz cannot garner more than 25-30% in any poll. Facts are that Cruz cannot make the sale past his narrow base of ultra conservative and evangelical voters, coincidentally, those who have just as narrow of a view of things as he does. If Cruz cannot grow his vote through his message and personality, “hoping” that others gravitate towards him as a stop Trump effort is just silly.
Great points!
“Trump went up 7, Cruz went up 7, Kasich went up 9.”
That is pretty much what happened when Bush got out. Trump’s numbers went up some along with the others.