Posted on 03/18/2016 8:12:45 AM PDT by GeaugaRepublican
Everybody who was going to break for Trump already has. He has frontrunner allure that assists him. Something is holding the steady 57% who won’t/can’t support him, and that thing is called NEGATIVES, which have hounded him the whole race. Any more mistakes he makes (or scandals) sends those negatives higher and support lower. Expect Hillary to reel back a point or two of his RAT support by the convention. Cruz has no RAT base to keep committed to him.
Everybody who was going to break for Trump already has. He has frontrunner allure that assists him. Something is holding the steady 57% who won’t/can’t support him, and that thing is called NEGATIVES, which have hounded him the whole race.
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Carson had the least amount of negatives yet, he won zero states.
Trump and Hillary sport the highest negatives yet they lead.
Your theory is crap.
Yes, further verification that Cruz’s ceiling is 25% -30%. The people back that backed Rubio but now moved to Kasich could have moved to Cruz but did not. Perhaps a lot of those people that prefer Kasich now may be anybody but Cruz folks?
Anything you say Bagdad Bob! "Peak Trump" sounds kinda like "Peak Oil" and Trump is a frackin' machine!
But Kasich gets out... all of his Eastern supporters will get right behind Texan Cruz \sarc.
“Yes, further verification that Trump’s ceiling is 40 to 45%. If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins.”
So you’re admitting that Cruz gets the establishment vote. It’s about time people realized Cruz is establishment. He just happens to be one that’s not well-liked, but Trump is the outsider in this race and that’s why he’s hated by all.
Reality checks are needed by Cruz and his supporters. Its over...come on board with Trump.
Cruz cant make the 87% of needed delegates and we all know it.
Only 43% of Texans voted for Cruz. He’s despised all over the country.
Cruz cannot win the needed 87% of the remaining delegates...not even possible.
[Kasich is a real jackass. He supposedly wants to stop Trump, yet his actions are handing Trump the nomination.]
Shhhhh..... don’t say that!
If voters wanted Cruz over Trump he’d be the one with 20 primaries wins not Trump. He cant seem to understand that. He was completely shut out in his supposedly “firewall” of the South. A “Southerner” that can’t win not even one Southern primary. Time for Cruz to pack it in and endorse Trump. If he was any kind of man he would. The people have spoken and will continue to speak loud and clear and this race is Trump’s. The outsider.
If he did, he'd be taunted as a coward and a quitter.
I see no reason for Cruz to quit if the dough continues to flow.
One of his major shortcomings is his “retail politicing”
This gives him more practice.
The guy won’t even be prime POTUS age for another 3 or 4 cycles.
“If Kasich would get out, Cruz wins.”
If that were true, and Cruz is such a strong candidate, shouldn’t he already be leading, while Trump splits the lesser votes with Kasich?
If a candidate can’t win unless others drop out, then he’s too weak to get the job done by himself, and doesn’t deserve the nomination.
“If a candidate can’t win unless others drop out, then he’s too weak to get the job done by himself, and doesn’t deserve the nomination.”
Isn’t that why Trump supporters are asking Cruz to get out?
“Isn’t that why Trump supporters are asking Cruz to get out?”
You forget that Trump is winning, and has a realistic (though tough) mathematical path to the nomination.
We Trump supporters are simply stating that now would be a good time for Cruz to come to grips with the math, and the fact that he’s doing more harm than good by staying in.
Ted would have to win 78% of the remaining delegates to win the nomination outright. The chances of him doing that, are somewhere between slim and none. Continuing his bid is pointless at this point, unless his intention is to force a fight on the convention floor, which could possibly lead to a complete implosion of the party.
As one astute Freeper put it last night, “Ted’s horse is dead, but he won’t get off.”
So why is he still in?
If Conservatives (aka Republicans) want to win the White House, they should back Trump, because CRUZ CANNOT WIN. Backing Cruz because he is "more Conservative" than Trump is a noble idea, but it is a losing strategy. Backing Cruz is like winning the battle, but losing the war.
Cruz's primary argument is that he is the most Conservative. He is running his campaign based on how FAR RIGHT he is. Again, that is noble, but it is not a winning strategy.
The truth and the fact is, this country is less than 50% Conservative, less than 30% Evangelical, and less than 20% Far Right. So the more Cruz emphasizes how Far Right he is, the more he ensures he can not, will not, win the White House.
The truth and the fact is that the vast majority of people in this country are Moderate. In each election, Moderates have to make a choice between the Democrat candidate and the Republican candidate. Moderates have some Conservative values and some Liberal values, but they don't have ANY Far Right values. Far Right values are too polarizing, and perhaps even frightening, for Moderate voters. Therefore, if the Republican candidate is FAR RIGHT (i.e., Cruz), then Moderates will vote against Far Right Cruz (as opposed to for Hillary).
Trump may not be as Conservative or as perfect as many Republicans would like him to be, but would Cruz-backers rather stand on the moral high ground of backing Cruz and losing the White House to Hillary? Or would they rather win the White House with Trump?
I would rather have a President (Trump) who may be "Moderate, Leaning Conservative" than Far Left Hillary or Socialist/Communist Bernie -- ANY DAY.
I am very afraid that Cruz-backers will not figure this out, and they will fight Trump to the point that they ensure Hillary or Bernie win the White House.
Who do we have to blame for Obama being in the White House? We have the Republican Party to blame, because "we" couldn't come up with a worthy candidate to beat Obama. We can't blame the Democrats for Obama -- we have ourselves, and our LOUSY candidates (McCain and Romney) to blame.
This time around, if Hillary or Bernie win the White House, it will be because the Cruz, Kasich, and Rubio supporters refused to support Trump. Trump is the ONLY Republican candidate who can win the MODERATE vote, and therefore, Trump is the ONLY Republican candidate who can win the White House.
“If you want to talk ceiling...it looks like Cruz is about 30%. Not good. I can’t imagine what a Cruz supporter is feeling looking at the polls.”
A lot of Cruz supporters appear to be shielding their eyes from the math, and are grinding forward on dogged faith alone. Others are choosing to confront What Is, and are adjusting their thinking accordingly.
I think we’ve all been there, at other times, in other races.
I haven’t forgotten anything of the kind (can’t come on FR these days without being reminded a couple dozen times about who’s winning). It would appear, though, that those who support Trump might be wondering about their guy’s ability to “close the deal” as they keep asking for Cruz to drop out.
Trump himself said that he wanted to go one on one with Cruz...well, he’s just about there.
Post Rubio....
Rasmussen Reports 3/16 - 3/17 719 LV 43 28 21 Trump +15
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