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TIME TO DROP OUT? Ted Cruz Needs 87% of Remaining Delegates to Win Nomination
GP ^ | 03/17/16 | Jim Hoft

Posted on 03/17/2016 6:14:55 AM PDT by Enlightened1

After Super Tuesday 2.0 Donald Trump is on track to secure the Republican nomination.

trump cruz 2

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) would need 87% of remaining primary voters to win the nomination.
It might be time for Ted Cruz to drop out and endorse Donald J. Trump?

The New York Times reported:

Donald J. Trump’s series of victories on Tuesday extended his delegate lead and forced Senator Marco Rubio of Florida out of the presidential race. Mr. Trump’s path to winning enough delegates to secure the Republican nomination is not assured, but he is in a strong position.

Here are some ways the Republican nominating contest could unfold. Try adjusting the sliders to see how the outcomes change. Each line in the chart represents one possible outcome.

If Mr. Trump maintains his current level of support in the remaining races, he would almost certainly secure the nomination.

After Tuesday’s contests, no other candidate retains a real chance of capturing the delegates required to win the nomination outright. Mr. Rubio dropped out, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is too far behind, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas would need to win the vast majority of the remaining delegates — a near impossibility.

 

 

(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; badmath; cruz; delegates; exposingted; nomination; stupid; unenlightened; unworthyoffr; win
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To: Girlene

Everybody is entitled to an opinion, but mine is backed up by independent polling data.


261 posted on 03/17/2016 9:34:07 AM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: Ancesthntr

I think any reasonable person could presume that Trump is only the predominant second choice among Cruz supporters, while most other non-Trump voters would go Cruz.

With Rubio out, I don’t see it as such a wild proposition for Cruz to finish #1. I hear what you are saying, I really do, but looking to get a sizeable portion of the party to concede just as the field is narrowing down doesn’t seem like a reasonable demand.

How about we work to get an agreement that whoever gets the plurality of votes on the first ballot wins?


262 posted on 03/17/2016 9:36:29 AM PDT by SampleMan (Feral Humans are the refuse of socialism.)
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To: Enlightened1

I am amazed at what people think sometimes. You do understand that ONLY Ted Cruz and Donald Trump’s names will be placed into nomination, and that between them, Trump and Cruz will literally control the convention?

This fear of Romeny, Ryan, Kasich, Bush, Perry or whoever is sheer unsupported fantasy. It will never be allowed to happen.


263 posted on 03/17/2016 9:36:34 AM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: JerseyDvl

You have no idea who you are talking to or what you are talking about. If this is the best you can do when you are allegedly awake, you must be an absolute terror when you are asleep.


264 posted on 03/17/2016 9:38:37 AM PDT by John Valentine (Deep in the Heart of Texas)
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To: usafa92

Precisely

And all this blather about bound and unbound means nothing if Trump hits 1237 which he is very likely to do

At his current pace even without taking into account the winner take all status he’s likely to hit close to 1400 unless he collapses

Cruz has been in the 20s

Now folks think he’s gonna jump to 87%

On what basis?

Cruziacs and their GOP buddies are trying to cast doubt and miraculously go into Cleveland contested with Trump around 1100 and Cruz a few hundred less and then turn all these delegates on however many voting rounds they need

That is all they have now and the odds are crazy bad

And it would kill the election

Cruz has no track record drawing numbers Trump does and his appeal is mostly religious


265 posted on 03/17/2016 9:41:52 AM PDT by wardaddy (Many Cruzbots here are on a seriously dark road....lets pray they can find their way back to sanity)
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To: Liz

Liz

These threads are sad

It shows how poorly informed and just plain not too swuft a lot of very earnest zealous Freepers are

They hang on Levin and Megyns and Krauthammers every little faint spit up of hope

At this point with this sort of turnout and spreads has anyone ever turned it around?

Not that I’m aware of

A few candidates who had the votes have had the nomination taken from them by shenanigans but even that’s uncommon


266 posted on 03/17/2016 9:45:36 AM PDT by wardaddy (Many Cruzbots here are on a seriously dark road....lets pray they can find their way back to sanity)
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To: John Valentine

Polls change.
Now Trump has a net favorability among Republicans significantly higher than Cruz.
Which is a reversal from last month.

I think Arizona is Cruz’s last ‘last chance’. Nothing has gone right for his campaign.


267 posted on 03/17/2016 9:45:42 AM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Leto

Have you done the math and examined voting history thus far

It’s objectively heavy heavy in Trumps favor despite the hopes of Rich Lowery and Erickson etc


268 posted on 03/17/2016 9:47:30 AM PDT by wardaddy (Many Cruzbots here are on a seriously dark road....lets pray they can find their way back to sanity)
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To: ScottinVA; Albion Wilde; DoughtyOne

No....he has to earn them and he is well on track to do so

He is on track to hit close to 1400 at this rate

Albion Wilde and doughty one have easy charts of votes so far and what each candidate needs and established trends

The 1400 is my guess


269 posted on 03/17/2016 9:50:06 AM PDT by wardaddy (Many Cruzbots here are on a seriously dark road....lets pray they can find their way back to sanity)
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To: MichaelCorleone

The whole Trump girl squad are exquisite

I’d drink the bathwater of any or all

Ivanka is birthing any day I think

Let’s hope for another gorgeous Trump lady to add to the gene pool

God love her


270 posted on 03/17/2016 9:52:03 AM PDT by wardaddy (Many Cruzbots here are on a seriously dark road....lets pray they can find their way back to sanity)
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To: Donglalinger

He will get 0% in NY and NJ

Ya think so?. Kasich should get out He is hurting Cruz.


271 posted on 03/17/2016 9:53:05 AM PDT by RightLady (God Bless the USA)
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To: Sybeck1

None except his home state.....and Oklahoma which is sorta mixed southern and western

And one would have thought he’d nail the South


272 posted on 03/17/2016 9:53:35 AM PDT by wardaddy (Many Cruzbots here are on a seriously dark road....lets pray they can find their way back to sanity)
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To: ScottinVA

Speaking of s**t, what exactly is Ted entitled to?

At this rate he would have to win 83% of the remaining delegates.

We all know he can’t do that, so what is it you’re fighting for?

All your fighting for is the GOPe’s ability to toss this into a floor fight.

Is the GOPe entitled to that? Evidently by your reasoning.


273 posted on 03/17/2016 9:54:00 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: Enlightened1

Cruz has become very unlikable...very.


274 posted on 03/17/2016 9:55:21 AM PDT by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.l)
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost

Anybody know what per cent of votes Kasich got in his home state? I think Trump got a close second. Kasich would be a disaster, that’s why the media is coddling him.


275 posted on 03/17/2016 9:56:04 AM PDT by RightLady (God Bless the USA)
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To: John Valentine

It took you that long to come up with such a lame response? Who does anything when they are sleeping?...lol.
Thanks for not actually insulting me and pretending you don’t spout leftist talking points. Just another FReeper who is showing their true colors. No surprise your candidate is so weak when it comes to sticking up for our first amendment rights while he sells out for MOVEON. With FReepers like you.. Who needs leftists?


276 posted on 03/17/2016 9:56:21 AM PDT by JerseyDvl (Hillary's a criminal.)
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To: SampleMan

“How about we work to get an agreement that whoever gets the plurality of votes on the first ballot wins?”


Won’t work: the ballots would have already been cast, and then we’re into the 2nd ballot (with most of the delegates having a free choice). That’s GOPe-friendly territory.

Perhaps an agreement made NOW (and publicly), to the effect that whomever has the most committed delegates at the end of the primaries will be pledged the 2nd placer’s delegates ON THE FIRST BALLOT. Thus, the GOPe is shoved aside, and party unity begins on June 7.


277 posted on 03/17/2016 9:59:30 AM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: wardaddy

Have you done the math and examined voting history thus far

It’s objectively heavy heavy in Trumps favor despite the hopes of Rich Lowery and Erickson etc.
_____________________________________________

So you agree Cruz is not relevant to Trump winning. So why do people care whether Cruz quits?


278 posted on 03/17/2016 10:00:54 AM PDT by Leto
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To: CA Conservative

Bull and you know it

Trump can win the 1237 even if he drops 4-5 points voting percentage

And with these winner take alls it becomes even easier

Your biggest chance is California

A major long shot but it could help push to a contested convention with Trump just below the mark and Cruz 2-300 back

Trump will win the population heavy northeastern states

That’s your biggest hope

The GOPE California towards the end to avoid the risk of front loading given its not very GOP anymore but they made it WTA

If it were up front it would be proportional I’d think

The irony it now holds all the hope for Cruz and the GOPe which is in itself another contradiction


279 posted on 03/17/2016 10:01:08 AM PDT by wardaddy (Many Cruzbots here are on a seriously dark road....lets pray they can find their way back to sanity)
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To: Mechanicos

Left, Soros backed Cruz will not get us a conservative president, it will get us a Democrat or

That is an insult. If Soros opposes anyone it would be Cruz. He just propped up Kasich with 200,000 $. This should be broadcast to the country every day.


280 posted on 03/17/2016 10:02:04 AM PDT by RightLady (God Bless the USA)
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