Delegates Count % of remaining available 1079 needed 1237 trump has 661 trump needs 406 (38.6%) cruz has 406 cruz needs 831 (77.0%) kasich has 142 kasish needs 1095 (101.5%)Cruz's chance of winning is half of Trump's chance.
Kasich's chance is worst than zero and requires many more delegates than the 1,079 remaining.
In short Cruz is running against the wind and Kasich is running to steal it from the voters at the convention.
Trump needs 54% of the remaining delegates.
State Delegates |
Cumulative Total Delegates |
||||
March 22, 2016 |
Arizona |
58 |
Closed primary |
prop |
1527 |
Utah |
40 |
Modified primary |
hyb |
1567 |
|
April 5, 2016 |
Wisconsin |
42 |
Open primary |
w-t-all |
1609 |
April 19, 2016 |
New York |
95 |
Closed primary |
hyb |
1704 |
April 26, 2016 |
Connecticut |
28 |
Closed primary |
hyb |
1732 |
Delaware |
16 |
Closed primary |
w-t-all |
1748 |
|
Maryland |
38 |
Closed primary |
w-t-all |
1786 |
|
Pennsylvania |
71 |
Closed primary |
w-t-all |
1857 |
|
Rhode Island |
19 |
Modified primary |
prop |
1876 |
prop = proportional
hyb = hybrid, winner take most
w-t-a = winner take all