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To: JPJones
"I don’t know about that, because a clean sweep tonight would have sealed the deal."

No, that was a myth advocated by Bill O'Reilly.

A Trump sweep of Ohio and Florida would have hurt Trump because polls show that with Rubio and Kasich both out of the race Cruz gets their votes about 3-1 vs. Trump.

I've modeled the scenarios. It was kind of win-win for Trump going in... either he gets the delegates or he keeps the crowded field that helps him down the line.

But down the line was more important (more delegates up for grab) than just tonight. So Rubio dropping out hurts Trump more than the 99 Florida delegates help Trump, and conversely Kasich winning Ohio helps Trump more than losing those 66 delegates hurt him.

What Trump really needed to nearly "clinch" the 1237 was to win Florida but have Rubio stay in the race even though he lost. Rubio claimed he was going to do this, but fortunately for Cruz fans and unfortunately for Trump fans, Rubio dropped out.

32 posted on 03/15/2016 7:02:50 PM PDT by Stat Man
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To: Stat Man

LOL!


34 posted on 03/15/2016 7:08:27 PM PDT by Kirkwood (Zombie Hunter)
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To: Stat Man

“What Trump really needed to nearly “clinch” the 1237 was to win Florida but have Rubio stay in the race even though he lost. Rubio claimed he was going to do this, but fortunately for Cruz fans and unfortunately for Trump fans, Rubio dropped out. “

Did you account for Rubio voters going to Kasich?

So in CA Cruz and Kasich split and Trump wins?

Perhaps


38 posted on 03/15/2016 7:23:53 PM PDT by JPJones
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