[usafa92]

Ok. This poll is basically useless. Sample size of 208 with MOE of +/-8. However, it's all we have at the moment. Only take away from this poll is that we have a 2 person race in Missoiri.

[usafa92]

Trump Missouri poll ping

[Red Steel]

Tiny sample. Must have cut if off so giving the worst results for Trump.

[silverleaf]

I don’t know where the MO Cruz voters were today, but there was a mile long line of people waiting to get one of the 3,000 tickets to hear Trump speak at 1:30

(despite having 1/3 of his speaking time disrupted by protesters, Trump turned them into part of his speech about incivility and lawlessness and why the folks need to take back America)

[hsmomx3]

208? That is nothing!!! And I bet they are paid big money to ask 208 people their opinion!

[xzins]

It’s better to be in front than behind, but it’s also better to worst case it due to the huge MOE. It is a virtual tie, but Trump has a bullet

[goldstategop]

MO is a bellwether state... its a microcosm of America and its demographics fall in line with the country as a whole.

I expect Trump to win the Show Me State next week.

[barker]

Got a call from the Pfizer PAC yesterday. Automated. Gave Trump the highest ratings and everyone as low as possible.

[Albion Wilde]

Nice graphics at the link. Graphics are beside the point if the data sample is too small.

[TYVets]

Fort Hayes University is in western Kansas.

[painter]

I heard about an internal poll last week that Trump is winning in EVERY congressional district in the State.

[Future Useless Eater]

That poll identifies the same thing that every other Missouri poll has shown: Trump has a significant lead in Missouri.

The August poll formerly referenced by RCP, contained this: MISSOURI AUGUST 2015 Combined (1st + 2nd Choices) Trump 33% Cruz 20% Rubio 15% Kasich 7%

The Dec 18-19 poll by MOscout of 1,528 likely GOP Primary voters: MISSOURI DECEMBER 2015 Trump 33% Cruz 23% Rubio 12% Kasich 1%

Recent continuous-polling by iSideWith.com has also been: MISSOURI Feb-March 2016 (latest 30 days) Trump 35% Cruz 18% Rubio 21% Kasich 7%

---

Based on these polls, Missouri state SHOULD be Donald's on Tuesday.

The iSideWith.com data also breaks down each candidate's strength per district,
so Donald's and Ted's delegate haul can be estimated as follows:

                                            Likely     Likely
                                            Trump      Cruz
            Trump    Cruz   Rubio  Kasich  Delgates   Delegates
District 1   34%     16%    16%    13%        5          0
District 2   32%     14%    25%    11%        5          0
District 3   39%     17%    20%     7%        5          0
District 4   33%     16%    20%     8%        5          0
District 5   27%     17%    22%    11%        5          0
District 6   32%     19%    12%    12%        5          0
District 7   23%     25%    19%     4%        0          5
District 8   49%     16%    11%     4%        5          0
statewide winner......................        9          0
                                            ===         ==
                             Total Delgates: 44          5 

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Donald needs to paint Missouri RED if he wants to connect sea-to-shining-sea.