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The Dam Bursts for Rubio
The National Review ^ | March 9, 2016 | Jim Geraghty Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/432553/dam-bursts-rubio

Posted on 03/09/2016 1:18:05 PM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

It’s not that last night’s contests in Idaho, Hawaii, Michigan and Mississsippi doomed Marco Rubio’s campaign; it’s that the four bad performances atop Rubio’s previous disappointments — New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, and just about everywhere else not called Minnesota and Puerto Rico – have now created what feels like an insurmountable perception of defeat.

Three Rubio-friendly conservative writers — Jen Rubin of the Washington Post, Dan McLaughlin of Red State, and Guy Benson of Townhall.com — contend it’s time for Rubio to quit the race and endorse Ted Cruz.

Jen and Dan urge Rubio to strike the deal now to be Cruz’s running mate. (This assumes Cruz wants Rubio to be his vice-president.)

Guy suggests that Rubio should announce he’s withdrawing, but urge his supporters in Florida to still vote for him, as that is the more likely way to deny Trump all of Florida’s 99 delegates. This isn’t likely to work; the announcement that Rubio was quitting the race would prompt some current Rubio supporters to shift to Cruz, simply out of the psychological perception that a vote for Rubio was a wasted vote.

The “everyone unites around Cruz” strategy might be the best option remaining for the #NeverTrump crowd, but it still has flaws. Throughout this cycle, Cruz has experienced his own disappointments, losing demographics he was supposed to win. If Cruz can’t beat Trump among evangelicals in many states, how certain can anyone be that Cruz will beat Trump in those other key demographics? Cruz keeps losing to Trump among “moderate conservative” or “somewhat conservative” and “moderate” GOP voters. Why will that change in the coming weeks?


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Hawaii; US: Idaho; US: Michigan; US: Minnesota; US: Mississippi; US: Nevada; US: New Hampshire; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: cruz; gopnominee; hawaii; idaho; jimgeraghty; michigan; minnesota; mississsippi; nationalreview; nevada; newhampshire; puertorico; rubio; southcarolina; trump
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

But Cruz is going to get demolished as the contest moves up north and onto the coasts. He’s a non-factor in the big metropolitan states, New York, California, Illinois, Pennsylvania, New Jersey. What’s the point of rallying around a dead man walking?


41 posted on 03/09/2016 1:43:06 PM PST by Behind the Blue Wall
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Lil’ Marco’s winning strategery was 3-2-1. He is now at 3-3-3-4-splat. He isn’t even following his own playbook.


42 posted on 03/09/2016 1:45:32 PM PST by SERKIT ("Blazing Saddles" explains it all.......)
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To: Donglalinger

Those NRO covers made me LOL.
Are they real or did someone photoshop them.
They have all the naive marketing punch of a 1950s toilet tissue advertisement and deliciously ironic.


43 posted on 03/09/2016 1:45:50 PM PST by mabelkitty (Trump 2016! #NoDNoR - Send Congress packing - third party in 2016!!)
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To: Ozymandias Ghost

“A major problem w/Rubio leaving the race prior to the FL primary is that he already has a large number of early voting ballots that have been cast”

Early voting is a major problem.


44 posted on 03/09/2016 1:48:13 PM PST by Durbin
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To: Donglalinger
Nice covers. Good get, thanx.

National Review needs a new name and masthead. I modestly (always!) suggest, Schlonging Times/ The Journal of Getting Schlonged in American Politics

45 posted on 03/09/2016 1:49:11 PM PST by lentulusgracchus ("If America was a house , the Left would root for the termites." - Greg Gutierrez)
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To: SunkenCiv; Liz; AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; ...

“Maybe National Review can put Cruz on the cover, pretending that they support him, when in fact they support Democrats?”

NR has been 100% taken over by the PUKEneocons.


46 posted on 03/09/2016 1:50:31 PM PST by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: MNJohnnie

I am convinced it was Cruz.
Cruz remained ‘above the fray’ and they seemed quite chummy when they got on stage - Cruz knew what was coming Donald’s way.

Add to that - it is not smart for a freshman Senator to crack wise in reference to Depends and someone Donald Trump’s age. I can tell you with absolute authority that this is exactly why he imploded in Florida.


47 posted on 03/09/2016 1:51:10 PM PST by mabelkitty (Trump 2016! #NoDNoR - Send Congress packing - third party in 2016!!)
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To: ilgipper
Some people won't vote for him because he seems too young.

Others might not vote for him because he is Hispanic or Catholic or Cuban in particular.

There are lots of good reasons, and even more bad ones, not too vote for Rubio.

48 posted on 03/09/2016 1:52:00 PM PST by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: Donglalinger

Rubio was doomed since the GOPe came out strong for him after Jeb’s demise. That firmly entrenched him as “establishment”...something that conservative voters are tired of.


49 posted on 03/09/2016 1:53:02 PM PST by FrankR (You're only enslaved to the extent of the charity that you receive!)
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To: grania
How many Cruz supporters will leave Cruz for Trump when Cruz...

I can mostly speak for one, but it will take real issues. No, I'm not talking who was just hired to help with finances.

50 posted on 03/09/2016 1:53:08 PM PST by C210N (Supporting the Constitutional Conservative in the race. Constitutional Conservative Cruz.)
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To: kik5150

Then he should go all in and endorse Trump, who has a far more likely shot at winning the Presidency than Cruz.

Establishment endorsing establishment is going to kill Cruz.

I think Cruz is scrambling right now and he is forgetting his message.


51 posted on 03/09/2016 1:53:08 PM PST by mabelkitty (Trump 2016! #NoDNoR - Send Congress packing - third party in 2016!!)
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To: stephenjohnbanker

I think you mean the GOPukes.


52 posted on 03/09/2016 1:54:40 PM PST by SunkenCiv (Here's to the day the forensics people scrape what's left of Putin off the ceiling of his limo.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Jen and Dan urge Rubio to strike the deal now to be Cruz’s running mate. (This assumes Cruz wants Rubio to be his vice-president.)

If Rubio can't carry his own state in the primary would he really help in the general election?

53 posted on 03/09/2016 1:56:53 PM PST by x
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To: SunkenCiv

Mostly the same....

McCain

Flake

Graham

Ryan

McConnell

They are PUKEneos of the highest grade : )


54 posted on 03/09/2016 1:57:34 PM PST by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Cruz/Rubio is a non-starter. As is any combination of Trump/Cruz.

If Rubio and Kasich exit immediately, I can see a viable Cruz/Kasich coalition. Since this won’t happen it’s Trump’s nomination to lose. And as Rush said, only Trump can stop Trump.


55 posted on 03/09/2016 2:05:01 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: ilgipper

Looks to me like a lot of the “safe pick” voters want blood this time around.


56 posted on 03/09/2016 2:06:48 PM PST by Charles Martel (Endeavor to persevere...)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Trump has it locked up. NR is delusional.


57 posted on 03/09/2016 2:10:15 PM PST by patq (Ted Cruz New Best Friends...Low Energy Jeb, Snarly Carly and Neil Silverado Bush)
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58 posted on 03/09/2016 2:18:12 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: Donglalinger

“National LOOSER Magazine” the GOP Establishment’s rag.


59 posted on 03/09/2016 2:21:31 PM PST by Jmouse007
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

GOPe supports Jeb!, Trump goes up.
GOPe supports Rubio, Trump goes up.
so yeah, come on GOPe, support Cruz now. Trump needs another boost.


60 posted on 03/09/2016 2:24:58 PM PST by bigbob ("Victorious warriors win first and then go to war" Sun Tzu.)
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