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How Trump, Rubio and Cruz Would Fare Against Clinton in November (Clinton 51% - Trump 38%)
NBC News ^ | March 9, 2016 | Carrie Dann

Posted on 03/09/2016 12:26:52 PM PST by reaganaut1

Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders would handily defeat Donald Trump in a general election match-up, while a clash between Clinton and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio would be a toss-up, according to a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

The poll shows that Trump, who frequently boasts in interviews and campaign appearances that he would beat Clinton in November, would lose a one-on-one contest against her by double digits. In a head-to-head fight, Clinton gets the support of 51 percent of registered voters compared to 38 percent for the real estate mogul.

For Sanders, the margin of victory would be even greater, the poll shows.

The Vermont senator gets 55 percent support in a hypothetical two-person race against Trump, while the GOP front-runner would get just 37 percent.

While Trump remains the front-runner for the GOP nomination, Republicans like former presidential contender Mitt Romney have urged their party's voters to back Cruz or Rubio, whom they say would have a greater chance of defeating the Democratic nominee.

The NBC/WSJ data supports that theory; both Cruz and Rubio would be competitive with the former secretary of state, both running within the margin of error in hypothetical general election battles against Clinton.

(Excerpt) Read more at nbcnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: agitprop; alreadyposted; hugh; moosebitsister; nonsense; ntsa; series; sharkjumping; trump
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To: papertyger; ScottinVA

I think that it’s of utmost importance that ScottinVA release the details of the media’s planned, imminent attack on Trump. Releasing those plans would be critical in case Cruz is the nominee so that we can be prepared. It’s very likely that the propaganda press would use the same tactics against Cruz.


121 posted on 03/09/2016 5:24:54 PM PST by sergeantdave ( If not you, who? If not now, when?)
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To: sergeantdave

“Really? Then you must have insider info on that line of attack. Tell us the details.”

That’s cute. Play your little games if you must.

You and I both know the media has a history of that practice. Just as they did vs Romney in 2012. They played “nice,” then once Romney was nominated, out came the “war on women” narrative. But so don’t have to convince you of this. You already know.


122 posted on 03/09/2016 5:58:21 PM PST by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: ScottinVA

*But I don’t have to convince you of this..


123 posted on 03/09/2016 6:00:07 PM PST by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: ScottinVA

No, you said with specificity that the media had a plan to take down Trump. What is that plan? We need to know that plan because the media may do something similar if Cruz is the nominee.


124 posted on 03/09/2016 6:16:28 PM PST by sergeantdave ( If not you, who? If not now, when?)
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To: sergeantdave

If the media’s past practice of that kind of gamesmanship isn’t enough context for you to draw the same conclusion, there’s no point in discussing this with you.


125 posted on 03/09/2016 6:27:49 PM PST by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: reaganaut1
This poll reflects the EXACT OPPOSITE of what took place in yesterday's primaries.

I gentlemanly and gracefully call "BULL$HIT."

126 posted on 03/09/2016 6:59:03 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: MNJohnnie
One question, why is the much beloved Cruz not beating Trump since he obviously is so worshiped by the voters no

I know. Cruz cannot seem to beat Trump, yet he would fair better against Hillary???

PURE BULL$HIT

127 posted on 03/09/2016 7:04:53 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: ScottinVA
If it's "fiction," it's pretty consistent. Do you have survey data that says otherwise?

This is a forecast that will give you pause because of the number of times it's been CORRECT since 1912.

The ONLY time this forecast, has been incorrect when applied, was ONCE, which was in 1960.

This is a PROFOUND PREDICTION

Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner
The Statesman  | February 23, 2016 | Christopher Cameron

A professor of political science at Stony Brook University has forecasted that Donald Trump has a minimum 97 percent chance of winning the general election as the Republican nominee.

Professor Helmut Norpoth's forecast presentation took place Monday evening in the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan, which was organized by the Stony Brook Alumni Association.

Norpoth created a statistical model of presidential elections that uses a candidate's performance in their party's primary and patterns in the electoral cycle as predictors of the presidential vote in the general election.

Donald Trump has a 97 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of defeating Bernie Sanders in the general election, according to Norpoth's formula.

"The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president," Norpoth said, "if he's a nominee of the [Republican] party."

Norpoth's primary model works for every presidential election since 1912, with the notable exception of the 1960 election. These results give the model an accuracy of 96.1 percent.

Complete story source:

https://www.sbstatesman.com/2016/02/23/political-science-professor-forecasts-trump-as-general-election-winner/

128 posted on 03/09/2016 7:05:56 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: manc

Here you go...tell me which poll you’re referencing...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-4151.html#polls


129 posted on 03/09/2016 7:28:57 PM PST by Lakewood
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To: reaganaut1

Yeah. Right.


130 posted on 03/09/2016 7:34:11 PM PST by Some Fat Guy in L.A. (Still bitterly clinging to rational thought despite it's unfashionability)
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To: reaganaut1
LOL! Haw haw! Suckers!

This poll is pure propaganda, as a recent FR thread demonstrates quite convincingly.

Anybody citing it is either ignorant or sloppy drunk on Establishment koolaid, and should be ashamed of themselves for spreading such blatant spin.

Please go peddle your worthless garbage push polls over at DU...

131 posted on 03/09/2016 7:44:27 PM PST by sargon
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To: reaganaut1

Polls are propaganda?


132 posted on 03/09/2016 9:12:26 PM PST by tinamina
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To: svcw

Neah. Talking about both tickets. That our public accepts Trump, Hillary!, and Mad Uncle Bernie as the leading contenders for the office of President, it really bad sign.


133 posted on 03/10/2016 5:48:29 AM PST by Little Ray (How did I end up in this hand basket, and why is it getting so hot?)
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To: ScottinVA

The Constitution calls for such challenges AFTER the election and BEFORE the Inauguration in it’s language. You can be sure that the Democrat Congress and Senate WILL object and throw the election results into the Supreme Court. It only takes 1 Congressman and 1 Senator to accomplish this.

Congressman Alan Grayson (D Fla.) has already volunteered. The Dem. Senators will pull straws to be the other objector with Harry Reid taking the honors.

Both the Conservatives and the Court Liberals will overturn any Cruz election......The Conservatives because of Article II and the Liberals because it throws the election to Hillary.

Sorry, but that’s just the way it will be. Reality sucks.


134 posted on 03/10/2016 3:49:19 PM PST by Forty-Niner (Ursus Arctos Horribilis)
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