Posted on 03/07/2016 11:05:18 AM PST by tatown
(CNN)Donald Trump is leading Marco Rubio in the Florida senator's home state by 8 percentage points, a Monmouth University poll out Monday shows.
Trump has the support of 38% of Florida's likely GOP primary voters, compared to 30% who back Rubio, 17% for Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and 10% for Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
The snapshot of Florida comes before the state's crucial 99-delegate, winner-take-all primary set for March 15.
It's a must-win for Rubio, who has fallen behind Trump and Cruz in the delegate race after taking only two of the first 20 Republican contests.
The poll undercuts the argument that Rubio could win if he faced Trump head-to-head: The real-estate mogul leads a one-on-one race, 47% to 45%.
The poll shows Rubio leading among Floridians who have already cast their ballots in early voting, while Trump does better with those who haven't voted yet.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Florida is ALREADY VOTING. Surprised there are no Trump voting parties.
does anyone have a yard sign count report?
I’m emotionally invested now - I can’t help but worry. When I got to Delray Beach last week I was mortified when I saw the neg ads one after another, repeating several times an hour.
The RNC has squandered any goodwill with the voters, by giving us Bush III followed by Rubio as their selection preferences. Since neither Bush III or Rubio are free of the 'ESTABLISHMENT', they have no chance. This is the Anti-Two Party System year.
Ok thanks.
I heard that on Hannity earlier also. I’m surprised.
Plus I saw this http://www.redstate.com/jaycaruso/2016/03/07/rubio-leads-trump-big-in-early-florida-voting/
In almost every closed primary or caucus, Trump's competitors do much better against him than the polls indicate. In fact, on average, there is an 9-1/2 point swing in the lead away from Trump and toward the closest challenger. To be fair, Kansas skews that number a bit, but only by about 2 points. And Florida is a closed primary.
It won’t matter if Trump takes Florida by 1% or 10%.
True - but if he is within 5% or less in the polls by next Tuesday, I would bet he will lose, based on past performance.
All open primaries - in closed primaries, there is about a 7-9 point swing against Trump from the polls to the actual vote. And Florida is a closed primary.
Trump doing very well in Florida. Trump FL counter ads are hitting the air waves. Only a week to go where the foam party girl Rubio goes down.
Oh it’s just begun. I have family and friends on the ground in Mississippi and they have been doing some internal polling, last week in LA and this week in MS. They just emailed me and said Trump is dipping and Cruz is rising and shockingly Kasich is doing well in the college towns. Now, the internal polling they did in LA, was spot on, but I’m afraid they may be off in MS since Cruz was too sick to make it there today. However I don’t think it will be mirror the RCP polls exactly either.
Yea a group did that close to my house in Texas the day before the election. Didn’t work out so well eh?
That depends on how you measure success...Cruz got the lowest winning percentage for a home stater in 104 years and its not like Texas isn’t gonna vote Republican in November.
You’ll always have Maine though...
This Thursday. It is the next to the last one.
Thank you for the info!
Yea but other primaries the nominee wad chosen. People just went with it.
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