Poll: Trump Leads in Idaho Ahead of Tuesday's Primary (Trump 30, Cruz 19)

Idaho Politics Weekly ^ | 3/6/2016 | Bob Bernick

[NYRepublican72]

Donald Trump will likely win Tuesday’s Idaho Republican presidential vote, a new Idaho Politics Weekly poll finds.

The polls are open 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. Tuesday. Only registered Republicans can vote in the closed contest, but political independents can register as Republicans at the polls and vote.

IPW’s pollster, Dan Jones & Associates, finds in a survey completed before last week’s Super Tuesday presidential results, that Trump has 30 percent support among Republicans, and 24 percent of political independents favor Trump.

Among all Idahoans, Trump is favored by 23 percent of adults. However, that sample includes Democrats and members of other parties who can’t vote Tuesday.

Here’s what Jones finds in the new survey, conducted Feb. 17-26:

Among Republicans:

30 percent favor Trump. 19 percent like Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. 16 percent would vote for Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. 5 percent prefer Ohio Gov. John Kasich. 9 percent would vote for someone else if they could. And 11 percent don’t know. Retired doctor Ben Carson dropped out of t

[McCarthysGhost]

Yes polls are based on the laws of probability and they are pretty accurate as long as they are properly conducted and they have been pretty accurate up until Super Saturday.

Imagine if the tables were turned and Cruz was in Trump’s place. Right after, and I mean right after, Mitt swore to do everything to take him down and aim for an open convention he suddenly under performs all the polls in every contest? You honestly wouldn’t suspect anything. Do you think Mitt holds that much sway with the voters?

[Mase]

[Mase]

I think the vote was more of a reflection of the fact that people are making their minds up at the last minute and Trump’s poor performance at the last debate. It also shows that Rubio has lost a lot of support, and that it has benefited Cruz. Charges of voter fraud make for good conspiracy debate and the intrigue is entertaining. But, no, I don’t take it seriously at this point. Some people have to make excuses and this just happens to be their attempt at an explanation.