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UT/TT Poll: Cruz Leads Trump in Texas; Rubio Lags Behind
Texas Tribune ^ | February 23, 2016 | Ross Ramsey

Posted on 02/23/2016 9:56:47 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

"....What looked like a three-candidate race coming out of South Carolina looks more like a two-person race in Texas, with Cruz and Trump almost certainly in position to split the state's 155 Republican delegates. Among likely Republican primary voters who identify with the Tea Party, Cruz leads Trump 56 percent to 26 percent in the UT/TT Poll. Among voters who identify as Republicans when given the choice to bolt for the Tea Party, the candidates were relatively even: Cruz had 32 percent to Trump's 30 percent. Rubio had 18 percent of those voters, and 8 percent of those who identify with the Tea Party...

Cruz led in all age groups, notably among voters ages 18 to 29 and voters ages 30 to 44. Trump pulled close among 45- to 64-year-olds, and Cruz had a 9-percentage-point lead among voters over 65. Rubio had 21 percent of that oldest group - his best showing in the age brackets.


(Excerpt) Read more at texastribune.org ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gopprimary; lonestarstate; tedcruz; texas
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To: factoryrat

Does donnie lead in NY? Is he a favorite son there?


21 posted on 02/23/2016 10:23:06 AM PST by biff
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

This poll was taken before the SC primary. Not accurate as it misses the Trump bump. Plus another bump for Nevada coming tonight. Its always important to read the fine print.

The University of Texas/Texas Tribune Internet survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted from Feb. 12 to Feb. 19 and has an overall margin of error of +/-2.83 percentage points. Among self-identified Republican primary voters,, the margin of error is +/- 4.27 percentage points;


22 posted on 02/23/2016 10:24:57 AM PST by TexasCruzin ( He always hits back.)
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To: KansasGirl

So does Bernie Sanders...you’re point is?


23 posted on 02/23/2016 10:26:52 AM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

First the serious...
This should give Cruz a talking point v. Rubio.

The people who know me best support me.

The people who know you best support Trump.

And for some fun...
Now, dont shoot me, but where are the Cruz supporters to discuss how 63 pct of the state doesn’t support Ted so he’s not really winning?

Good natured teasing, laugh a little please.


24 posted on 02/23/2016 10:28:19 AM PST by BlueNgold (May I suggest a very nice 1788 Article V with your supper...)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I do think Cruz is going to win Texas.


25 posted on 02/23/2016 10:29:32 AM PST by samtheman (Elect Trump, Build Wall. End Censorship.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Cruz has to win BIG in Texas following his abysmal performance in SC. 8 points won’t do the trick in his home state...and this poll was done before his campaign was shaken up to try to put the “dirty campaigning” meme to bed (which, IMHO, didn’t and won’t work - the damage has been done).

Carson will stay in the race at least until TX, just to drain votes from Cruz after the Iowa fiasco. That cannot help Cruz at all.


26 posted on 02/23/2016 10:30:42 AM PST by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: biff

So I take it you don’t think Cruz would be favorable to Texans? After all, they did elect him as their Senator.


27 posted on 02/23/2016 10:32:49 AM PST by factoryrat (We are the producers, the creators. Grow it, mine it, build it.)
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To: BlueNgold

Ted Cruz won his Senate seat in a runoff election against an incumbent taking 57% of the vote.


28 posted on 02/23/2016 10:32:58 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: BigEdLB

Home state lead by single digits. Big whoop...

****************

Texas allocates the delegates proportionally by Congressional District and Statewide.

3 per each of the 36 Congressional districts, Majority wins all
47 based upon statewide performance, Majority wins all

108 CD
.47 Statewide
155 Total


29 posted on 02/23/2016 10:34:27 AM PST by deport
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To: Ancesthntr
Cruz has to win BIG in Texas following his abysmal performance in SC.

: )

Cruz and Rubio virtually tied for 2nd spot in SC.

".. Trump got crushed with the 37% of voters looking for a "shares my values" candidate (Cruz-Rubio-Trump 37-27-8), and the 15% who wanted a "win in November" candidate (Rubio-Trump-Cruz 47-21-17), so those are the pitches that are working best against him (note that this is a much better result on 'electability' for Rubio than in New Hampshire or Iowa); where both Cruz and Rubio need to work at Trump is the 31% of "can bring needed change" voters, who went 45-19-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio.

While Trump's win looks big, it's actually the second-smallest margin of victory ever in the South Carolina Republican primary (to McCain in 2008) and the smallest percentage of the vote for a winner, and Trump got fewer actual votes than Newt Gingrich did in 2012 or McCain in a losing effort in 2000:".............................. Source

30 posted on 02/23/2016 10:39:07 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: mtrott

The GOPe isn’t going to back Cruz for that.

That’s just deluded fantasy of his supporters.


31 posted on 02/23/2016 10:39:40 AM PST by VanDeKoik
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Ted Cruz won his Senate seat in a runoff election against an incumbent taking 57% of the vote.

*************

It was an open seat vacated by Kay Bailey Hutchinson. True Cruz defeated the sitting Lt. Gov
in the GOP primary to run against the democrat in the General.


32 posted on 02/23/2016 10:39:41 AM PST by deport
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To: TexasCruzin
Feb 17, 2016 "Senator Ted Cruz of Texas has erased Donald J. Trump's lead in a new national poll that could signal a significant shift in the race for the Republican nomination with primary election season in full swing.

According to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Wednesday, 28 percent of Republican primary voters support Mr. Cruz, while 26 percent back Mr. Trump. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, leaving the candidates in a virtual tie."..

33 posted on 02/23/2016 10:43:53 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: deport
True Cruz defeated the sitting Lt. Gov in the GOP primary to run against the democrat in the General.

You are correct.

34 posted on 02/23/2016 10:44:48 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: factoryrat

I do not understand where you would logically get that statement from. The posters conclude Cruz should win Texas as he is their favorite son. I just ask is donnie NY’s favorite son and will he carry NY?

No kidding, I voted to Cruz.


35 posted on 02/23/2016 10:46:49 AM PST by biff
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To: VanDeKoik

Give them time, as Trump continues to embarrass them with his absurd and offensive comments.


36 posted on 02/23/2016 10:49:01 AM PST by mtrott
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Cruz would also beat Trump in Alberta. ;-)


37 posted on 02/23/2016 10:52:56 AM PST by r_barton (We the People of the United States...)
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To: biff

That’s hard to say. Liberal NYC pretty much rules over the rest of the state. Add in dem voter fraud, and anybody not a flaming socialist will have a hard time winning NY.

As for Texas, the demographics there favor Cruz. That isn’t a bad thing. They elected him to represent Texas in the senate after all. Supporting him with his presidential bid would be a natural assumption.


38 posted on 02/23/2016 11:05:42 AM PST by factoryrat (We are the producers, the creators. Grow it, mine it, build it.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Right and that NBC/WSJ poll turned out to be a total fraud and lie. Texas will be very close and could go either way. Trump has the momentum in his favor.


39 posted on 02/23/2016 11:08:47 AM PST by TexasCruzin ( He always hits back.)
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To: TexasCruzin

And we know that the UT/TT is biased against conservatives, so.... we can play the game all day.


40 posted on 02/23/2016 11:17:11 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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