Posted on 02/23/2016 9:56:47 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
"....What looked like a three-candidate race coming out of South Carolina looks more like a two-person race in Texas, with Cruz and Trump almost certainly in position to split the state's 155 Republican delegates. Among likely Republican primary voters who identify with the Tea Party, Cruz leads Trump 56 percent to 26 percent in the UT/TT Poll. Among voters who identify as Republicans when given the choice to bolt for the Tea Party, the candidates were relatively even: Cruz had 32 percent to Trump's 30 percent. Rubio had 18 percent of those voters, and 8 percent of those who identify with the Tea Party...
Cruz led in all age groups, notably among voters ages 18 to 29 and voters ages 30 to 44. Trump pulled close among 45- to 64-year-olds, and Cruz had a 9-percentage-point lead among voters over 65. Rubio had 21 percent of that oldest group - his best showing in the age brackets.
(Excerpt) Read more at texastribune.org ...
Does donnie lead in NY? Is he a favorite son there?
This poll was taken before the SC primary. Not accurate as it misses the Trump bump. Plus another bump for Nevada coming tonight. Its always important to read the fine print.
The University of Texas/Texas Tribune Internet survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted from Feb. 12 to Feb. 19 and has an overall margin of error of +/-2.83 percentage points. Among self-identified Republican primary voters,, the margin of error is +/- 4.27 percentage points;
So does Bernie Sanders...you’re point is?
First the serious...
This should give Cruz a talking point v. Rubio.
The people who know me best support me.
The people who know you best support Trump.
And for some fun...
Now, dont shoot me, but where are the Cruz supporters to discuss how 63 pct of the state doesn’t support Ted so he’s not really winning?
Good natured teasing, laugh a little please.
I do think Cruz is going to win Texas.
Cruz has to win BIG in Texas following his abysmal performance in SC. 8 points won’t do the trick in his home state...and this poll was done before his campaign was shaken up to try to put the “dirty campaigning” meme to bed (which, IMHO, didn’t and won’t work - the damage has been done).
Carson will stay in the race at least until TX, just to drain votes from Cruz after the Iowa fiasco. That cannot help Cruz at all.
So I take it you don’t think Cruz would be favorable to Texans? After all, they did elect him as their Senator.
Ted Cruz won his Senate seat in a runoff election against an incumbent taking 57% of the vote.
Home state lead by single digits. Big whoop...
****************
Texas allocates the delegates proportionally by Congressional District and Statewide.
3 per each of the 36 Congressional districts, Majority wins all
47 based upon statewide performance, Majority wins all
108 CD
.47 Statewide
155 Total
: )
Cruz and Rubio virtually tied for 2nd spot in SC.
".. Trump got crushed with the 37% of voters looking for a "shares my values" candidate (Cruz-Rubio-Trump 37-27-8), and the 15% who wanted a "win in November" candidate (Rubio-Trump-Cruz 47-21-17), so those are the pitches that are working best against him (note that this is a much better result on 'electability' for Rubio than in New Hampshire or Iowa); where both Cruz and Rubio need to work at Trump is the 31% of "can bring needed change" voters, who went 45-19-16 Trump-Cruz-Rubio.
While Trump's win looks big, it's actually the second-smallest margin of victory ever in the South Carolina Republican primary (to McCain in 2008) and the smallest percentage of the vote for a winner, and Trump got fewer actual votes than Newt Gingrich did in 2012 or McCain in a losing effort in 2000:".............................. Source
The GOPe isn’t going to back Cruz for that.
That’s just deluded fantasy of his supporters.
Ted Cruz won his Senate seat in a runoff election against an incumbent taking 57% of the vote.
*************
It was an open seat vacated by Kay Bailey Hutchinson. True Cruz defeated the sitting Lt. Gov
in the GOP primary to run against the democrat in the General.
According to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Wednesday, 28 percent of Republican primary voters support Mr. Cruz, while 26 percent back Mr. Trump. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, leaving the candidates in a virtual tie."..
You are correct.
I do not understand where you would logically get that statement from. The posters conclude Cruz should win Texas as he is their favorite son. I just ask is donnie NY’s favorite son and will he carry NY?
No kidding, I voted to Cruz.
Give them time, as Trump continues to embarrass them with his absurd and offensive comments.
Cruz would also beat Trump in Alberta. ;-)
That’s hard to say. Liberal NYC pretty much rules over the rest of the state. Add in dem voter fraud, and anybody not a flaming socialist will have a hard time winning NY.
As for Texas, the demographics there favor Cruz. That isn’t a bad thing. They elected him to represent Texas in the senate after all. Supporting him with his presidential bid would be a natural assumption.
Right and that NBC/WSJ poll turned out to be a total fraud and lie. Texas will be very close and could go either way. Trump has the momentum in his favor.
And we know that the UT/TT is biased against conservatives, so.... we can play the game all day.
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