This poll was taken before the SC primary. Not accurate as it misses the Trump bump. Plus another bump for Nevada coming tonight. Its always important to read the fine print.
The University of Texas/Texas Tribune Internet survey of 1,200 registered voters was conducted from Feb. 12 to Feb. 19 and has an overall margin of error of +/-2.83 percentage points. Among self-identified Republican primary voters,, the margin of error is +/- 4.27 percentage points;
According to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Wednesday, 28 percent of Republican primary voters support Mr. Cruz, while 26 percent back Mr. Trump. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, leaving the candidates in a virtual tie."..
The other candidates don’t seem to be campaigning in Texas which signals they think it likely goes to Cruz. Cruz winning his home state won’t change anything.