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Donald Trump Has Less than 5% of the Delegates He Needs to Win the Nomination
RedState ^ | February 21, 2016 | Leon H. Wolf

Posted on 02/21/2016 6:14:54 AM PST by Praxeologue

Right now, the clueless media, who are desperate for the continuation of the Trump-driven ratings boost they have received are gleefully reporting that the race is all but over, Trump has won, get ready for President Hillary.

The media does not understand conservatives in the least, and they never have. They have correctly calculated that mounting pretend attacks on Trump increases his standing with his own base of support, which works well to their advantage.

But their lack of understanding about conservative voters has led them to look at what Trump has accomplished in the primary thus far, and conclude that his trajectory will be more or less the same as John McCain's, or Mitt Romney's. They fail to understand that, while conservatives were not enthusiastic about either Romney or McCain, neither was anything even remotely as offensive to conservative sensibilities as Trump is.

Trump has got his 30-35% of the Republican party in the bag. They are not going to change their minds, no matter what. No matter how many times Trump stabs them in the back, no matter how many insane and ill-informed things he says, these people are his. However, the media grossly underestimates the extent to which the rest of the Republican party has come to bitterly hate Donald Trump, in a way they never did John McCain or Mitt Romney.

As I noted last night, John McCain's standing in the national polls went up 10% (per RCP average) between the day of the Iowa caucuses and the day of the South Carolina primary. Mitt Romney's went up 8.5%. Donald Trump's went down 1.5%. Donald Trump is not building momentum. He is bitterly opposed by a huge remaining contingent of Republicans.

And right now, including last night's delegates, he has less than 5% of the delegates he needs to win the nomination. Trump currently has 61 delegates, and he needs 1,237. I plan to fight him every day until the day he crosses that threshold, and maybe beyond. I know I'm not nearly the only one who feels that way.

This race isn't over, not by a long shot.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 100percentfail; 35percenttrump; 3wives; 47percentmitt; 4bankruptcies; 66percentnegatives; failedceo; sc2016; trajectory; trend; trump; yugedisaster
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To: Praxeologue

Red State is going to need to be put on a suicide watch in a few weeks after Trump clears Super Tuesday. Bunch of eGOP cowards.


121 posted on 02/21/2016 9:16:54 AM PST by CodeToad (Islam should be banned and treated as a criminal enterprise!)
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To: Praxeologue

Gee, then why are you so freaked out, ol Leon?

Cause you know the delegates lining up for Trump in the states to come, especially the SEC and then IL, NY, MA, RI, PA, MI, VT, CT, DE, WV. In short, Leon, old pal, you know if someone doesn’t come up with 200 delegates quick, fast, and in a hurry your GOPe is sunk.


122 posted on 02/21/2016 9:17:31 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: commonguymd

Sort of like the South in the Civil War. They could “shrug” off one loss, or two. But even when they won there were new divisions coming into the field daily. So the handwriting was on the wall, as it is with Wolf’s lame column.


123 posted on 02/21/2016 9:18:56 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Smokin' Joe

From the same guy who said Cruz would win SC . . . and can’t even come in second.


124 posted on 02/21/2016 9:20:14 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: DoughtyOne
And everyone keeps dodging this reality: Trump doesn't even have competition in the "moderate" Republican states like IL, NY, NJ, RI, CT, VT, DE, and Cruz/Rubio have almost no pulse in PA, WV, or MI. Still waiting on a poll out of OH.

Then I doubt Trump would be seriously challenged in MD or CA.

125 posted on 02/21/2016 9:22:37 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Psalm 144

Frequently, Levin goes into a tirade that 'we need a new Republican party.'

He never explains how to make it come about or what it will be like. If history is any indication, such major change is not going to come from within. It didn't with Goldwater. It didn't with Reagan. It didn't when the Republicans held both chambers and the WH in the mid-2000s. It hasn't while the Republicans regained the House in 2010 and the Senate in 2014.

He decries any mention of a 3rd party conservative/tea party effort. Several times he has claimed he is within a inch of dropping the [existing] Republican party.

It all makes for good soundbites on a shock-jock type radio program. But we still have the same old establishment-run Republican party. Nominee McCain didn't change it. Nominee Romney did some internal changes, but they were for his benefit as counters to the conservatives.


126 posted on 02/21/2016 9:23:17 AM PST by TomGuy
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To: TexasFreeper2009

I think Trump will take Florida.


127 posted on 02/21/2016 9:24:48 AM PST by Shortstop7
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To: Praxeologue

Trump did not dominate. He was expected to get 38% of the vote. He got 32%. Together Cruz and Rubio got 44% and the rest combined for about 18%.

Rubio has just been endorsed by Mitt Romney. It is clear now that Rubio is the candidate of the GOPe.

Cruz needs to pick up all the also ran votes and some from Rubio.


128 posted on 02/21/2016 9:28:03 AM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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Comment #129 Removed by Moderator

To: CodeToad

You Trump people aren’t gonna be dancing when Rubio takes it. Trump and Cruz should get together now and form a coalition.


130 posted on 02/21/2016 9:33:14 AM PST by altura (Cruz for our country)
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To: LS

I agree.

Trump is going to drag many members of our own party kicking and screaming all the way to fixing this nation.

And when he’s done, they’ll still call him a Leftist Democrat.

We’ve got some very confused folks in our midst right now.

Last night it was more preferable to have Rubio than Trump.

My God, they want a third Bush term!

Now there’s a Conservative for you. As if...


131 posted on 02/21/2016 9:40:09 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: altura

Rubio is a flaming homosexual. That is going to kill him off as it comes out.


132 posted on 02/21/2016 9:41:07 AM PST by CodeToad (Islam should be banned and treated as a criminal enterprise!)
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To: TomGuy

Yep. The cheapjacks doth protest too much. Then dutifully line up behind the status quo.


133 posted on 02/21/2016 9:41:08 AM PST by Psalm 144 (Clear the bushes for a proper field of fire.)
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To: Pravious

Not used to reading anything THIS bad. Usually they try to put a veneer of objectivity on their articles unless they are admitted paid staffers of a campaign.


134 posted on 02/21/2016 9:44:02 AM PST by EDINVA
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To: DoughtyOne

The Stephen Hayeses, Guy Bensons, Jonah Goldbergs, Jay Costs are just despicable. They are Twitter nearly bawling for Kasich and the others to drop out and support Rubes.

Now, the ONLY state where I’ve seen Rubio ahead of Trump is MN. Rubio won’t be in the same universe in the northeast. That whole block will be Trump by overwhelming margins. WV too, and probably MO and VA.

Aside from TX and UT, which I think Cruz should win, there really are only a handful of states where someone else will even be competitive: AZ, CO, OR, WA, HA.


135 posted on 02/21/2016 9:55:21 AM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

I don’t see anything out of line there.

I honestly don’t know what the dynamic around Rubio will build like.

Trump probably has big plans for him. “:^)


136 posted on 02/21/2016 10:10:30 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Facing Trump nomination inevitability, folks are now openly trying to help Hillary destroy him.)
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To: DoughtyOne
How many times have we heard that Trump would be so much more successful if he were more 'political,' played nicely with others, pulled his verbal punches?

What many consider a product flaw I've long considered a feature. If you're taking on the world, a certain tone-deafness is not only desirable but essential.

137 posted on 02/21/2016 10:25:58 AM PST by gogeo (Donald Trump. Because it's finally come to that.)
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To: Pravious

Trump is the GOPe’s briar patch candidate...they know that conservatives are angry...”oh no!” they cry “whatever you do you don’t wanna go votin’ for no Donald Trump!” Then the elites sit back and laugh at all the rubes who are gonna go out(just to show show the GOPe elites who is boss) and vote exactly as they are secretly expected to vote!(referencing the story of Br’er Rabbit for those in Rio Linda)


138 posted on 02/21/2016 10:33:13 AM PST by mdmathis6
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To: LS

I don’t recall saying Cruz would win SC. Please link the statement and refresh my memory.


139 posted on 02/21/2016 10:41:34 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: QuinqueViae

RE: McCain won SC by even fewer points than Trump did and went on to win the nomination handily. No one ever asked “OMG 65% of the Republicans hate McCain, he is finished!”

1) I did not say Trump is finished.

2) The situation in 2008 was different -— All candidates then were establishment Republicans who could easily move from one establishment Republican candidate to another.

Trump ( and Cruz also ) position themselves as anti-establishment. The main chance Trump has would be for the supporters of Cruz and Carson to move to his corner if they drop out.

Rubio will most probably garner most of the estalishment support now that Jeb has dropped out.

It remains to be seen if that will happen.


140 posted on 02/21/2016 11:04:54 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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